If the West imposes further sanctions on #Iran, what stops #Tehran from supplying #Russia (if not yet supplied) the Arch-1 and Arach-2, the long-range and biggest Kamikaze drone in the world to be used in #Ukraine?
It is the intention of #Israel to provide #Ukraine with an Iron dome system or similar, to test its interception missiles against #Iran's drones. Ukraine has become a testing ground for all countries to use their weapons and test their efficacity.+
However, the #Israel's supply of #Ukraine of weapons will have persecution on the relationship with #Russia that used to consider Tel Aviv as a strong Middle Eastern ally, regardless of the results of the Israeli weapons supplied.
If and when #Israel will supply weapons to #Ukraine, it means there will be a real break with #Russia that would consider #Israel as a hostile entity. Many countries in the Middle East (i.e. #Syria, #Iran, #Iraq, #Lebanon and #Palestine) will be delighted.
#Ukraine is using drones from #Turkey and the Russian-Turkish relationship has not been affected. If #Russia is buying drones from #Iran, why #Kyiv is accusing Iran of killing Ukrainian civilians?
#Russia and # Iran's strategic relationship dates back before the 24th of Feb. Also, #Russia uses missiles with components from the west and #China. Therefore, Ukraine is producing a storm in a tea cup, riding the Iranophobia mood.
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The CIA & @JoeBiden believed #Russia is "too weak to respond". Over 20 Ukrainian cities were targeted in the largest missile strike day since the beginning of the war which created blackout in several cities. #Moscow showed its readiness to be harsher when the decision is taken.
However, these are tactical attacks and change very little in the course of the ongoing battle. The game changer is the position of #Belarusia and the seize of its involvement in the battle.
Also, it is important to take into consideration the coming winter and the next winter. For how long #Europe can hold on? We know that #Ukraine leaders are ok with the total destruction of their country's infrastructure and economy. Will Europe agree to follow suit?
The #US is desperately provoking #Russia to use tactical nuclear weapons. I don't think this will happen in the way America, or even #Kyiv, expects. However, the US administration is forcing President Putin to react more harsher than ever. That objective will be met, I reckon.
Pushing President Vladimir Putin into a corner is a bad military and political tactic.
Provoking a powerful country to retaliate is stupid. Showing that #Russia is "too weak" is amateurish thinking.
No analyst dares to predict what is going to happen next and if #Russia will respond to the hit received today and what is the level of response. Russia’s deterrence is at stake.
Prsdt Putin’s seize & shape of response will determine the destiny of this war & the World’s balance.
#Israel's Defence Minister is asking the army to be ready for a potential war: rubbish. 1. Israel has mobilised the forces for a month now 2. No official answers have been delivered to the Lebanese government 3. #Lebanon didn't respond to the Israeli not-yet-delivered reply.
4. #Israel's current government has decided from day one to postpone the negotiation and throw it in the arms of the forthcoming government, after the Knesset elections. 5. @yairlapid shall not agree on maritime demarcation in the last 20 days of his ruling
6. It will be up to the gov of #Lebanon or the President to announce the death of the indirect negotiation with #Israel. If that takes place, the #US & Israel will uphold the responsibility of war to the Lebanese government that insinuated to #Hezbollah to bomb the gas platforms.
What the #US has offered to #Ukraine? Money and weapons so the Ukrainians can kill themselves and lose 15-20% of their territories.
Oh! And of course, sanctions... Important not to forget the sanctions.
Very slim outcome indeed.
What was the gain of #Europe to hide under the #US skirt?
Impoverishment, inflation, refugees, lack of energy and de-industrialisation.
Oh! And of course, sanctions.... We have imposed many sanctions on #Russia to flex our muscles and shoot ourselves in the head.
I wish, one day, #Europe can learn from #India, a #US ally but not enslaved, about sovereignty, and mainly from @DrSJaishankar. India is braver than most #EU nations.
#Europe is paying the price of decades of colonisation and of being colonised by the #US.
Do we think we are tough enough and allow ourselves to impose whatever sanctions on #Russia? We have a blow in our face and no Russian gas ahead of us.