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Dec 14, 2022 12 tweets 19 min read Read on X
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA

Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come
#SPX
$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower

It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA

#DJIA will continue to lead the rally

Not a pretty candle, but not exactly a 1-day reversal

#DowJones #trading #options #trading
$IWM

Same story

Perhaps an uglier candle, closer to a 1-day reversal than $DIA and $SPX.

$RTY looking much better

Bounced from important support in the trading channel

Big volume today.

#IWM needs to catch up with $DJI for accompanying leadership

$RUT #RUT #RTY_F #trading
$QQQ
Another bounce from the 20DMA after rallying and plunging

#QQQ looks very good in its trading channel, the 20DMA coincided with the channel support to stop the fall

Expecting it to heal the damage and continue in its uptrending channel

#NDX #NQ_F $NDX #NASDAQ #trading
$SMH
Make a fresh break above the recent highs, and closed barely under that level

This sector will help with the continuation of the advance

#SMH $SOX #SOX #semiconductor
#QQQ #SPX #trading #options #futures
#DayTrading
The $SPX stocks above 200DMA index

It closed at 61.63%

Looking good, it hit Dec-1 highs and pulled back, but not as much as #SPX

It continues to show inner strength in SPX

#trading #ES_F $SPY $ES #trading #options #futures #DayTrading #bearmarket #inflation #TradingSignals
The $SPX stocks above 50DMA index

It closed at 80.71% and below the 20DMA

Not a nice candle today, but in some way it's better that it didn't go to oversold territory

#SPX #ES_F #SPY $SPY $ES #trading #options #future #DayTrading #TradingSignals #MarketBreadth $QQQ $DIA $IWM
$TSLA

It was a drag on the market

Its chart shows very nasty technical damage

It marked a 2-year low today

It needs to close above 178 this week to have any hope, but it doesn't look like a real possibility

Are you looking for a stock to short?

#TSLA #FAANG #QQQ #SPX #ES_F
Chart of the day

$FLNC
Fluence Energy made a great breakout closing today above resistance.

It looks like a good candidate to go long, its chart shows no immediate resistance so it can go up without too much of a struggle

#FLNC #energy #ElectricVehicles #GreenEnergy
#SPX
$SPX Net $Gamma for Dec-16 $OPEX

#Gamma is the main issue to watch

Final adjustments and hedging (tomorrow and Thursday) will push the market to the place where MMs have the least risk

Bets are still scattered, but will be concentrated on two or three strikes

@TradeVolatility
$VIX $VVIX
It printed a very large bearish engulfing candle

There is nothing bullish in the #VIX chart, only that it managed to close above the 20DMA after piercing its line

It may have some bounces, but it looks like we'll have a sub 20 VIX this year

#VVIX $UVIX #SVIX $SVIX
$VVIX

Its chart looks much better than #VIX

It managed to print a green candle, despite of negative day (-3,26%)

It may be the precursor of more #volatility to come, but we need more evidence of this

$VIX #VVIX $SPX $ES $SPY #SPX #ES_F $SVIX $VIXY #trading #options #future

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More from @PointBlank_Algo

Nov 12, 2023
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

•Sticky inflation
•Tight labor market
•Higher for longer
• #Rates, #Dollar ↑
•Negative breadth and classic indicators divergences
•Fed speakers will be hawkish
•VIX/VVIX at important support with positive divergences
•Bond auction failure
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's Take:

• $VIX and $VVIX below 200DMA & strong downtrend
•Positive $Gamma
•Leading stocks breakout
•Bullish and daily weekly candles
•No recession
•Leading sectors about to breakout
•Core $CPI will decelarates

#ES #SPX $SPY #SPX #BullMarket #futures
Our Take

•Market to move up on Monday
• Market will pullback hard once it hit resistance
•4435 to be strong resistance
•Expecting sector breakouts to improve breadth on next two weeks
• $VIX and $VVIX to bounce, but remain in downtrend

#SPX $SPY #ES_F
#Daytrad #options
Read 4 tweets
Oct 29, 2023
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

•Geopolitical tensions
•Sticky inflation
•Tight labor market
•Higher for longer
• #Rates, #Dollar and Vol upward
•Bearish weekly chart on all indices
• #AAPL to report poorly
•Negative $Gamma
• $FOMC

#ES_F $SPY #0dte #SPX #BearMarket #trade
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's Take:

•Indices are at/near important support
• FED to soften tone
• $VIX and $VVIX near important resistance
• Market breadth indis double dip
• $FAANG stocks bounced on high volume on Friday
• Market is extremely oversold
•4074 is a hard floor

#ES
Our Take

•Expecting $SPX futures to open positive on Sunday and SPX to close positive on Monday
•Looks like #SPX needs an extra flush before bouncing hard
•FEDs won't be too hawkish
•4074 is a hard floor to bounce from
•Expecting #VVIX to break support

#SPX $SPY #ES_F
Read 4 tweets
Oct 22, 2023
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

• Increasing #Geopolitical tensions
•Sticky inflation
•Higher for longer
• #Rates and #Dollar are rising
•Weekly Bearish Engulfing candles with higher volume accross all indices
• $VIX and $VVIX breakout

#ES_F $SPY #0dte #SPX #BearMarket #trade
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's Take:

•All indices are at/near important support
•Big tech earnings will push the market higher
• $VIX will reverse down
• #Market breadth indis are at/near extremely low readings
• $FAANG stocks at important support
• Market is oversold

#ES_F $SPY
Our Take

•Expecting $SPX futures to open positive on Sunday and SPX to close positive on Monday
•If #SPX goes down on Monday it will trigger a sharp oversold rally
•Bulls need $VIX to fall back below 20.75
•4181 could be tested, but market will bounce from there

#SPX $SPY
Read 4 tweets
Oct 8, 2023
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

• #Israel - #Palestine war
•Fed: Higher for longer
•Rates at 16-year high
• #Dollar & $TNX uptrending
•New downward structure still in play
•October's bearish seasonality
•Oversold rally will fail

#ES_F $SPY #0dte #SPX #BearMarket #trade
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's Take:

•Big one-day reversal
•Bullish daily candles
•Indices bounced from important support
• $VIX reversed down and generated buy signal
• #VVIX reversed down
• Breadth thrust on Friday
• Coming earnings will help the market

#ES_F $SPY #SPX
Our Take

• 4220/4200 should hold war-generated pullback
• $VIX can spike again, but won't go above last week high
•4350 Big resistance
•Need to see how MidEast war affects markets
•Bounce alive until it breaks below 4200

#SPX $SPY $ES #Odte #options #trading #ES_F
Read 4 tweets
Sep 24, 2023
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

•Fed: Higher for longer
•Rates at 16-year high
• #Dollar & $TNX uptrending
•Negative #Gamma
•New downward structure
•September's bearish seasonality
•Bearish weekly candles
•VVIX to remain high

#ES_F $SPY #0dte #SPX #BearMarket #trade

🧵 →
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's Take:

•Market to bounce
•4300 will be a temporary floor
•Indices at important support
• $VIX at resistance
•Oversold market
• Positive indicators divergence
•Coming earnings will help to float the market $MU $NKE $COST

#ES_F $SPY #BullMarket #SPX
NEXT WEEK

Our Take

• $SPX futures to open positive on Sunday and market to close positive on Monday
•4300 will hold for a few more days
• Expecting $VIX to pull back
•Market bounce will fail at 4375 or 4390
•4352 big resistance

#SPX $SPY $ES #Odte #options #trading #ES_F
Read 4 tweets
Sep 17, 2023
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's Take:

•Hard landing
• #Dollar & $TNX uptrending
•Negative #Gamma
•Leading sectors and stocks breaking down
•Bearish seasonality
• Powell's #FOMC speech will be hawkish
• Friday's bearish impulsive candles

#ES_F $SPY #0dte #SPX #BearMarket #trade
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's Take:

•Market to open higher on Sunday, and close positive on Monday
•4430 will hold as suppport
•Indices and sectors at important support
• #VIX and #VVIX weak bounce
• Fed's pause will push the market up
• $DXY and $TNX to pull back

#ES_F $SPY
NEXT WEEK

Our Take

•4430 major $Gamma support
•4400 will hold as support if tested
• Expecting $DXY and $TNX to pullback
•4400/4500 range for the week
• #VIX and $VVIX still in downtrend
•Sideways market

#SPX $SPY $ES #Odte #options #trading #ES_F
Read 4 tweets

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