Before 8PM rolls around, I want to cover what the data say to expect in this contest. This thread will start off running through my predictions, will cover how I’m projecting the race, and will turn into a live blog with graphics when the votes start to come in.
There are multiple ways to predict an election. Polls, geographic data, demographic data, etc are all useful. I’m going to run through what all these measurements could predict in #pa18. Spoiler: it’s a mixed bag for both Lamb and Saccone.
Birmingham Bar held panel a couple of years ago on impact of Shelby County v. Holder. Almost everybody on it is now on twitter: @JoyceWhiteVance, @edwardstill , yours truly, and -- who was it, oh right -- the guy who prosecuted the 16th Street Baptist bomber. /2
We all show up, and the crowd is kind of small, and @GDouglasJones says something like, "you know what? Y'all know more about this than I do. I'm just going to go into audience and listen." /3
FEELS: One year ago today, a humble google doc began transforming our democracy and the lives of millions of people, including my own. #OneIndivisible 1/
This time last year, I was in a pit of despair. As a brown skinned Indian woman immigrant-turned-citizen, the election results took a toll on me and I didn’t know what to do. All I knew is that I had to do something. 2/
Driven by equal parts fury and desperation, I read the Indivisible Guide, joined my local chapter @IndivisibleSF, and started fumbling down a path to find my way into participatory democracy. 3/
Hello, Twitter! Congresswoman Terri Sewell here. I'll be taking over tweet duty for @TheDemocrats over the next little bit for some real talk on last night's big #ALSen win and the power of the #blackwomen vote! - @Sewell4Congress
I knew that black women could change the world long before the incredible headlines we're seeing today. My mom, a high school librarian with a master’s degree, became the first African-American woman elected to Selma’s City Council and served 11 years. - @Sewell4Congress
Decades later I sought office for the U.S. House and became the first black woman to ever serve in Alabama's Congressional delegation where I presently represent Selma, Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and more. - @Sewell4Congress
1/x Folks, a few thoughts on the extraordinary turnout among black voters in last night's #ALSEN special election and about how much greater it could have been.
2/x My client, Scott Douglas, wrote a brilliant op-ed about the problems with AL's discriminatory voter ID law in the NY Times yesterday: nytimes.com/2017/12/11/opi…
3/x Here are the numbers on the photo ID law:118,000 registered Alabama voters do not have a photo ID they can use to vote; Black and Latino voters are about twice as likely as white voters to not have ID.
Last night's #ALSEN election was decided by under 21,000 votes
Everyone knew the accusation was BS, but I suspected not only that, but this was the result of
2. a brilliant scheme on the part of the usual suspects on our side (Bannon, Trump, Flynn, Sessions) to catch the bad guys in corruption that normies will understand. Uranium One, Benghazi, classified emails on unsecured home server, etc. these are HUGE crimes that carry prison..
3. sentences, and long ones at that. They jeopardized national security in unthinkable ways, but still, they are a bit technical, especially Obama's crimes. When you have to use the word "unmasking" you lose 70% of people right there, but election rigging, now there is something
The child molester running for the U.S. Senate isn't the only weird thing going on in Alabama politics right now. Let's talk about some of that...
Last Thursday, a lawsuit was filed in an Alabama circuit court on behalf of 3 voters (a Republican, a Democrat, & an Independent). They asked the court to order election officials to preserve electronic ballot images from the upcoming #ALSen race.
Alabama uses paper ballots...BUT the paper ballot is not actually what's counted.
Here's how it works: The paper ballot is scanned. A digital image is created. Then, that digital image is used to count your vote.
Roy Moore is now doing an interview with American Family Radio, another safe space for Moore as he continues running from reporters.
ROY MOORE ON AMERICAN FAMILY RADIO: What they’ve done to me is not only unforgivable. It’s just pure hatred & it’s pure spite & it’s pure evil and wrong. And they have made up stuff that I wouldn’t even consider doing. #ALSen
This American Family Radio host has made it clear in the first few minutes that he 100% does not believe the allegations against him. #ALSen
(1) The left is disgusting. Truly, abhorrently, disgusting. I get that you can't stand Christians or Christian values, or for that matter, any conservative from the South. But this is despicable. (H/T to @RealDailyWire for reporting this debacle.)
(2) "Moral Majority" @JimmyKimmelLive has crossed a line that I didn't even know existed: Sending a "comedian" to interrupt a church service to make a political point (and he still failed). Do these people truly not understand what they are doing?
(3) Kimmel and the left consider themselves virtuous because of a bunch of norms and morals that they themselves made up. But yet like a compass without a fixed north, their "values" are utterly useless, blowing them too and fro with every change in the wind of American culture.
3) Since 1992, BOTH Alabama Senate seats have been held by Republicans. Sessions was elected to 4 terms. Margin of victory:
1996 by 7%
2002 by 19%
2008 by 26% 2014- Sessions ran UNOPPOSED! No Democrat challengers!