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💣TickTock💣

AAG Whitaker may play a staring role in #TrumpRussia #Guccifer2 #HackedData #MastCampaign #WPM & more, oh my!

Oops! Texts reveal Stone & Credico chatting re WikiLeaks plans

Roger is a naughty boi caught bullying witnesses

FB knew about RU & tried to cover it up.
💣TickTock2💣

Even worse, FB hired GOP PR firm to accuse critics of being linked to the RW mythical boogeyman Soros.🙄

#DeleteFB

"Big news Wednesday ... Hillary's campaign will die this week," Randy Credico appears to have texted Stone six days before WikiLeaks email dump.
💣TickTock2💣

NYT ran interference for FB’s Sandburg deleting unflattering articles about her.

U.K.’s May Gets Cabinet’s Go-Ahead on Brexit Deal; Political battle now moves to Parliament

Federal prosecutors drop investigation of wife of Bernie Sanders.

MCCARTHY 159, Jordan 43
Read 73 tweets
IMPORTANT: #CA45 & #CA39 don't be disheartened if the next couple batches of ballots counted skew GOP.

Spent most of my weekend observing the vote count in OC and LA. In OC the GOP is challenging the signature on every Dem ballot so lots of our ballots are getting pulled out.
The GOP is challenging the signature on #CA45 & #CA39 Dem ballot sat every tier when officials say they're a match.

So our ballots are there & will ve counted after extra inspections. This is not only slowing down the count, but will also produce batches w/less Dem ballots.
To be clear, I believe both #CA39 & #CA45 are going to flip. The OC Registrar is fair and ethical and isn't going to uphold frivolous challenges. These Dem ballots will be counted. It's just you might see some batches where there are less Dem ballots & then eventually, Dem ones.
Read 5 tweets
🚨MY MASTER THREAD of #Midterm2018 results analysis, including an array of data dives. Will the country chose to repudiate president Trump? Health care instead of the wall? RT & strap in, folks, tonight could be a wild ride. We get the first batch of results at around 6 PM ET.
Turnout has looked unprecedented for weeks now. Indications today that it could even beat these lofty expectations. At this point I think I’d buy for pickups in Tossup sub/urban seats like #TX07 #TX32 and #TX26, but sell in more rural districts that have looked like reaches.
Read 82 tweets
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We've traveled 1000s of miles on a mission to meet the voters who could matter the most tomorrow.

Many feel alienated and want to be heard -- everything from climate change to an economy they say is struggling *no matter what Trump says.*

Watch more: on.today.com/2SJCGHz
Some of our stops:

#ME2: Mars Hill, Millenocket, Bangor, Stonington
#NY11: Staten Island, Bensonhurst
#FL26: Miami, Homestead, the Keys
#TX23: San Antonio, Crystal City, Eagle Pass, El Paso, Tornillo
#CA48, #CA45, #CA39: Newport, Irvine, Yorba Linda
#CO6: Aurora, Centennial
It's not over yet -- not even close.

@SavannahGuthrie is spot-on.

We really have no clue what's gonna happen.

It'll come down to who shows up, and it's looking like a *huge* wave of voters -- and real change -- could be coming.

Watch more: on.today.com/2SJCGHz
Read 3 tweets
Why the slight shift? Let me try to explain what we've observed move post-Labor Day. There are basically 3 large buckets of House races we're watching...
1) Vulnerable Rs in upscale, suburban, Clinton-won "Whole Foods" districts like #VA10 Comstock, #KS03 Yoder, #CO06 Coffman, #MN03 Paulsen, #CA45 Walters, #NJ07 Lance, etc. These Rs are mostly trailing & their numbers haven't gotten any better recently.
2) Competitive races in redder, working-class districts that Trump won by double digits in '16, such as #IL12 Bost, #MN08 OPEN, #NY22 Tenney, #WV03 OPEN, etc. Overall, things have slightly improved in "Trump zones" for Rs, w/ notable exceptions in districts like #KS02 & #ME02.
Read 5 tweets
The path to a #BlueWave runs through the Golden State. Meet the candidates in key flippable California districts. #CApol (1/9) NXTGN.US/fii
#CA10: “He’s a newb, but a smart one.” Josh Harder supports the #DreamAct, #MedicareForAll, and debt relief for college students. NXTGN.US/fic
#CA21: TJ Cox has helped bring $40 million worth of investments and over 700 jobs to the district and wants to develop improved clean water infrastructure in the Central Valley. NXTGN.US/fid
Read 9 tweets
Shocking.

Watch what happened when I asked a bus stop full of CA students if they'd vote in their *key* midterm district.

Bueller?

While Trump's latest fire drill is underway, here's something else to think about: why young Americans don't vote.

More: on.today.com/2INVSis
Strong reactions, so here's more of our "What Matters?" series.

Keep hearing how DC and us in news don't get real life.

No wonder many don't trust politics.

ME: on.today.com/2yuCAdg
FL: on.today.com/2CyPFa6
TX 1/2: on.today.com/2EapqIJ
TX 2/2: on.today.com/2EhQeXE
Almost a month after I was first here and got those blank stares, looks like turnout is high at @UCIrvine in #CA45 after all.
Read 3 tweets
📢 NEW LA Times Poll (1/2) 📢

#CA10: @joshua_harder (D) 50% vs. Denham (R) 45%
#CA22: @JanzforCongress (D) 45% vs. Nunes (R) 53%
#CA25: @KatieHill4CA (D) 50% vs. Knight (R) 46%
#CA39: @GilCisnerosCA (D) 49% vs. Kim (R) 48%

#ThursdayThoughts
cc: @BlueWaveCS🌊
📢 NEW LA Times Poll (2/2) 📢

#CA45 @katieporteroc (D) 52% vs Walters (R) 45%
#CA48 @HarleyRouda (D) 48% vs Rohrabacher (R) 48%
#CA49 @MikeLevinCA (D) 55% vs.Harkey (R) 41%
#CA50 @ACampaNajjar (D) 47% Hunter (R) 49%

#ThursdayThoughts
cc: @BlueWaveCS🌊
Not really that stoked about these Senate ratings changed by @CookPolitical:

🔥THREE Senate seats shift red:

#MTSen: Lean Dem ->Toss Up
#NESen: Likely Rep ->Solid Rep
#NJSen: Likely Dem ->Lean Dem
#OHSen: Lean Dem ->Likely Dem

#ThursdayThoughts

cookpolitical.com/analysis/senat…
Read 3 tweets
🚨“CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND” THREAD🚨

As Green Day once sang: “Do You Know Your Enemy?”

If not, we need to have a talk about the Congressional Leadership Fund (@CLFSuperPac).

THEY ARE THE ENEMY of the 2018 Midterm Elections and they WILL cost us seats IF we let them.
The CLF is a right-wing SuperPAC spearheaded by Paul Ryan. It’s goal is to lie about and smear as many Democratic candidates as possible.

They have raised more than $100Million from billionaires looking to keep the GOP in power.
opensecrets.org/news/2018/08/w…
Back in May, Paul Ryan personally solicited billionaire Sheldon Adelson for $30Million for the CLF. He made the pitch and then walked out of the room so that someone else could make the actual “ask”, in order to avoid campaign finance violations.
esquire.com/news-politics/…
Read 17 tweets
CNN Key Race move 14 seats:

11 to Dems
3 to Rs

Currently 11 seats held/vacated by Rs, CNN rate lean Dem or better, Dem party about halfway to 23 needed to win control of the House

30 districts are Toss-Ups
28 belong to Rs
Hillary won 12 of them in 2016

cnn.it/2wzlxXo
#CA45 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#CA50 Race moves from Solid Republican to Likely Republican

#IA04 Race moves from Solid Republican to Likely Republican

#KS02 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#KS03 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up
#KY06 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#NJ03 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#OH01 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#OH12 Race moves from Toss-Up to Lean Republican

#OH14 Race moves from Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Read 4 tweets
THREAD

Q2 Fundraising is over, and Democrats did a great job!

But I was chatting with @ybbkaren and an interesting question came up:

With SO MANY great candidates, how do we decide who needs donations the most? Many are worthy, but our personal funds are not unlimited.
So I came up with an idea for my own list of Dems who need $$$ based upon the following criteria:

*They have won their primary
*They are trying to flip “swing” GOP-held seats (per @CookPolitical ratings)
*They are behind their GOP opponents in “Cash on Hand” (per @OpenSecretsDC)
That’s not to say that other Democrats in swing districts are not worthy. They are. But the following, from a strategic $$$ perspective, might be the best place to donate *for now*.

This is the list of those House candidates, and their donation links, based on that criteria:
Read 27 tweets
The new updated Blue list of Dem candidates running everywhere for everything:
Updated 7/6/18
Omar Vaid
@omarvaid
Muslim-American union worker & dog dad of two rescues. Democrat running for Congress in NY-11 contributor: bit.ly/2gnfDDX
Read 107 tweets
As Orange County, CA finished counting its primary ballots last week, we're going to be looking the House race in #CA45. This Congressional District is entirely in Orange County; it starts north in Anaheim, takes Irvine in the middle, and ends near Mission Viejo.
In 2016, Rep. Mimi Walters (R) won her second term by 17%. The district, which went to Romney in 2012, flipped to Clinton by almost 6%. Walters actually won more Clinton precincts than her Dem opponent, Ron Varasteh, did. #ca45
#CA45, like Orange County in general, has traditionally voted Republican. In fact, Clinton was the only recent statewide Democrat to carry it; even Obama and Feinstein lost it by double-digits. Still, the trend meant that Dems consider this seat a good pickup opportunity.
Read 8 tweets
Thanks to reporting from various sources, we now know that at least 14 GOP lawmakers (nine senators, three governors, and two congressmen, both from CA) are tied up in various segments of Bob Mueller's probe into election interference in 2016.
Six are tied in due to money they got from Russian oligarchs Viktor Vekselberg and Len Blavatnik. They are Sens. Mitch McConnell (MS), Marco Rubio (FL), Lindsey Graham (SC), and John McCain (AZ), along with Govs. John Kasich (OH) and Scott Walker (WI).

dallasnews.com/opinion/commen…
Four more are tied to Cambridge Analytica, all of whom are senators. Those senators are Ted Cruz (TX), Thom Tillis (NC), Tom Cotton (AR), and Roy Blunt (MO).
Read 148 tweets
The GOP's silence about ripping children from their parents is deafening.

Guess who *is* stating a clear moral position on this...Your 2018 Democratic swing district nominees. I've threaded their positions below. Please RT and follow all. #FlipEverything. Save America's soul.
Katie Porter - #CA45 @katieporteroc
Kathleen Williams - #MTAL @WilliamsForMT
Read 40 tweets
It's Super Tuesday, & my cheat sheet has ballooned to include 33 important elections: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

So here's a quick thread highlighting some (lower-profile) races you should absolutely be paying attention to today!
You know the big ones:
—Will Dems be shut-out in any of the 3 crowded Orange Co districts (#CA39, #CA48, #CA49)?
—Will the GOP be shut out in one/both of California's Senate & Gov race?
What else?
In New Mexico, state Rep. Debbie Rodella is facing a primary challenger in the Democratic primary (Susan Herrera). Rodella has killed progressive legislation, such as automatic voting registration. See: dailykos.com/stories/2018/4…
Read 11 tweets
Here's the deal: We have to #FlipItBlue in November. We have to elect @DaveMinCA. Here's why. In #CA45 (Orange County, California), we have a fighting chance to knock out Rep. Mimi Walters, a do-nothing Republican Trump follower, & replace her with an amazing Democrat. THREAD 1/
The top Democratic candidates for #CA45 are @DaveMinCA and @KatiePorterOC. Just by being Democrats with a conscience, they are both infinitely better than Mimi Walters. But the best #CA45 Democratic candidate, by far, is @DaveMinCA. 2/
has amazing people skills, real plans for all the important issues, & broad support from grassroots Democratic organizations on the ground in Orange County. Dave easily won more votes than all the other candidates combined in the local straw polls among local Dems. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Well guys, tonight on #ElectionTwitter, we're gonna be looking at Orange County. It's California's third most populous county and will be critical for the 2018 midterms.
Why is Orange County so interesting? Well, to start, it was one the relatively few Romney -> Clinton counties. She won it by almost 9%, becoming the first Democrat to carry it since FDR in 1936.
Despite the county flipping to Clinton, a quartet of districts there (or at least partially contained within OC) reelected R incumbents to Congress: #CA39, #CA45, #CA48, and #CA49.
Read 19 tweets
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