Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Member, NITI Aayog (member-niti@gov.in), Author (2005) of "Tripolar World: USA, China & India" & Founder Chairman(2018-22), EGROW Foundation

May 14, 2019, 54 tweets

#SupplyChains #India needs to work indipendently with #USA and #China to separate the supply chains headed in the two directions and try to shift as much of them as possible to India

2/n

3/n #SupplyChains This is the final opportunity for making India a manufacturing hub, & bring manufacture jobs to India. It would be tragic if we miss this opportunity. I suggest that the new Govt appoint a #MOS(Supply Chains)in @PMOIndia to attract Global supply chains to India.

4/n #SupplyChains (1) Improve EODB on Cross Border Trade to top 50 rank (2) GST refund within 3 days for 90% of exports. (3) Replace Specific Tariffs by Ad valorem in Textiles. (4)De-control Agriculture, replace QRs by tariffs & export duty bands. ..5/n

5/n #SupplyChains (5)Reduce Capital(Tax rts, Fiscal-Monetary Twist), (6) Labor laws(4), flexibility, transportability, competition, (7) Land Use laws; Rural land, Chemical Ind CPU (8) Sector problem ID & soln (9) Road shows-USA, China, (10) MOS(#SuCh) (11)Suspend IT0 for 5-10yrs

6/n #SupplyChains Cotton Textiles

7/n #SupplyChains: Great opportunity for India's Auto parts Industry, and selective opportunity in General Household goods and Sporting goods

11/n #Supplychains #Vietnam the no1 gainer from #TariffWar :

12/n #SupplyChains Opportunity in Electronics (mobile phones, laptops, video games, LCD, CRTs, TVs, VCR, hard discs, ), Toys: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

15/n #SupplyChains Could #India become a new hub for the Global Semi-conductor industry(#USA, #SKorea, #Taiwan) ? @PMOIndia

16/n #SupplyChains shifting from #China to #ASEAN since #GFC2008

18/n #SupplyChains >8% of #US firms plan to move from #China to #India:

19/n #SupplyChains #USA #Innovative & #Bold action by @PMOIndia can move 15% to 30% of these to #India. Will we grab this once in generation opportunity for #MakeInIndia? on.ft.com/2HPCe5A

20/n (18b) #SupplyChain #USA

21/n #SupplyChains #Taiwan #FDI (thread)

24/n #SupplyChains #Chinese Trans-shipment through #Vietnam, #Mexico & other cntrys is also to be expected in short term: asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Data…

26/n #SupplyChains Potential

28/n #SupplyChains Avg Export oriented #garment factory in #Bangladesh employs 10x to 50x the workers that the avg Indian #RMG #Indian producer does. Why? => Labor Flexibility, lower SocSec tax on producer: scmp.com/week-asia/econ…

29/n #SupplyChains #Taiwain is a key link in tech supply chains=> Replace Red Tape with Red carpet

34/n Some policy suggestions were made early in 👆🏽thread

35/n #SupplyChains #India has few of the limitations of #Vietnam (size of otential labor force-unskilled, Demi-skilled & skilled) and lacks a few of the advantages(eg inability to dispose of redundant workers) (cc @PiyushGoyal)

31/n Does the #SEZ act amendment 👇🏽represent the first step in incentivizing manufacturing #SupplyChains to move to India?

36/n Deterioration in Global manufacturing ( ) make it more urgent for #India to undertake reforms (4/n, 5/n) for attracting #FDI in #SupplyChains

37/n #SupplyChains Indian Govt must go out & grab these opportunities ( ) by setting up a specialized focused group to contact all such companies & work with them to clear road blocks to shifting production to India!

38/n #SupplyChains #India 🙏🏼 Grab this opportunity please @PiyushGoyal please 🙏🏼

39/n Will #India miss this once in a generation #SupplyChain #MakeInIndia opportunity?

40/n #SupplyChains #CommunistParty ruled #Vietnam is constructing 38 industrial estates, which will fill up with #FDI & thier suppliers in ~2 yrs, while #India remains mired in #BS (=#Bureaucratic #Socialism) 😢: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

43/n 100 companies waiting for #Indian Industry, exporters & Govt to contact them (#MakeInIndia anyone? 🧐) and lay out the red carpet from China to India?

44/n #SupplyChains on move from #China to #Vietnam . Can we learn anything from it? asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Trade-…

45/n #SupplyChains #India 😃🤓 👏

46/n Summary detail from above article

47/n #SupplyChains #CEZ = #Coastal #Employment #Zones are a great idea. 3+2 such zones near #Ports are feasible, 3 almost done, 2 in process. But one could also convert 5 largest SEZ’s (out of 500) in the interior of cntry, near #Airports into #Special #Employment #Zones = #SEZs

49/n Return of 1 #SupplyChain to #India (#Diamond )

50/n If #SupplyChain exit can destroy 1.9 mi jobs in #China ( ) it can also create 1.9 mi jobs in #India, given right labor & tax policies (eg in Coastal Employment Zones #CEZs & SEZs = Special Employment Zones )

52/n #SupplyChains #China #USA 🙏🏼 don't miss this opportunity @PiyushGoyal @nsitharaman @PMOIndia 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼

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