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Stuart Budd #PeoplesVote 🇬🇧🇪🇺❄️ @StuartBudd1
, 13 tweets, 6 min read Read on Twitter
1/
 Brexit: Control of our laws, borders and money

#PeoplesVote
2/
 Brexit will be easy

#PeoplesVote
3/
 Trade talks will be in parallel with the divorce talks.

#PeoplesVote
4/
 The UK will not be subject to EU rules and budgets during the transition deal.

#PeoplesVote
5/
 The UK will have a trade deal with the EU by March 2019

#PeoplesVote
6/
 The transition period will be short but open ended.

#PeoplesVote
7/
 We owe no money to the EU.
They can go and whistle for it.

#PeoplesVote
8/
 New trade deals will be ready by March 2019.

#PeoplesVote
9/
 The border in Northern Ireland will be simple to find a solution for.

#PeoplesVote
10/
 Freedom of movement is going to end in March 2019

#PeoplesVote
11/
 There will be no role for the ECJ

#PeoplesVote
12/
 The UK is going to take back control of its fisheries.

#PeoplesVote
13/
 Britain will take back sovereignty from the EU.

#PeoplesVote
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1/
 The Withdrawl Agreement

Loss of UK sovereignty
Bound by the backstop
No trade deals
Subjected to laws with no say, bound by the ECJ.

Humiliation for Britain:
politics.co.uk/blogs/2018/11/…

Top 40 horrors lurking in the small print of the Brexit deal
blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/11/the-to…
2/
 Article 4
The UK is bound by the ECJ after the transition period

Withdrawl Agreement reference:
ec.europa.eu/commission/fil…
3/
 Article 7
The UK will be subject to EU laws under the ECJ during and after the transition period ends.
The "transition period" could last forever.
Read 21 tweets
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1/
 I’m an Expert on Negotiations, and I Have Some Advice for Theresa May
Maybe there’s still hope.....

Ref:
nytimes.com/2018/12/20/opi…
2/
 "It’s not often that you can foretell success or failure clearly at the beginning of a negotiation process. But with Brexit, I could"

"Almost none of what was promised is actually possible"
3/
 On Monday, she reaffirmed that she won’t support a second referendum, a counterproductive move that limits her options and her leverage. But with a vote in Parliament scheduled for the third week of January, she needs to do something to break through the impasse...
Read 3 tweets
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The #Brexit choice......

The UK will align all standards to it's trading market.
EU or US

Satellite of US & take their food standards with no say.
Satellite of EU & take their food standards with no say.

Part of the EU & make the standards on food with full say.

#PeoplesVote
If being a Satellite of the EU and taking standards, including food with no say, can the UK influence legislation?
Yes, a little.
It can ask an MEP from a country represented in the EU to put it's case.
Is the UK any good at it's own food standards?
No.

BSE
Salmonella
Foot and Mouth
Bird Flu
Swine Flu

"we are going, once more, to have the freedom to make our own decisions on …how we label our food…”
Theresa May, 2 October 2016

quora.com/How-serious-is…
Read 3 tweets

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The problem at the heart of the #Brexit impasse is still whether the UK remain in a Customs Union with the EU.

Solve this and you largely solve Brexit. 1/Thread
Both the problem, and the failure to address it, is writ large in May's deal.

Officially UK is NOT joining a customs union....but in the absence of unicorns we clearly are.

Either via the Backstop or when its clear 'other arrangements' dont exist to fix the Irish border /2
Unfortunately May never had the courage to confront her Brexiteers over this fact. She fudged in Lancaster House, and kept fudging.

Recall this time last year, as the Irish reality dawned, senior peeps like @DLidington were flying kites on this.
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
Read 21 tweets
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#brexit seems to be all about feeling over fact and this is especially true of the ReesMogg ERG faction of the Tory right.
I never bought the line that #brexit is about Democracy because most of the Tory right had zero enthusiasm for improving democracy in the UK few of them care about unelected house of lords the unfair FPTP electoral system or transparency on the contrary
Most of the Tory right are interested only in constitutional changes that suit them and if anything strive to be as little democratically accountable as possible.
Read 23 tweets
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As Remainer i now acknowledge that I was totally wrong about #brexit and how embrace the cause
Now that Turkey is just decades away from joining the EU I am so relieved. all that Turkish EU membership required was a simultaneous act of mass political suicide by multiple East European governments and a few western ones too which is clearly very likely
Liam fox is so besieged by countries desperate to offer us trade deals that he is having to hide to stop beating off offers with a shitty stick
Read 12 tweets
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Theresa May must tell UK customs union costs

Being inside the customs union costs Britain billions of pounds each year

UK shoppers overpay for non-European imports due to common external tariffs protecting inefficient producers elsewhere in the EU👇

telegraph.co.uk/business/2018/…
Four fifths of these revenues go to Brussels

They’re particularly steep on clothing, food and footwear, hitting poorer UK shoppers hardest – which is unfair

To divert money we send the EU to the NHS instead we must be outside the customs union

Stick that on the side of a bus👇
Staying in the customs union means charging EU tariffs with no say in setting them – the “vassal state” argument

This is the ghastly deal foisted on Turkey – an unproven partner state trying to join the EU

Britain is not Turkey – Brussels is trying to keep us and our money in👇
Read 16 tweets
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So. #Brexit has slipped out of the headlines - but like two prizefighters, both sides are setting themselves for the fight to come. Some of the battles are EU v EU, some UK v UK.

So what's going on? Here's a quick overview from what I know.
1/thread
First the UK v UK debate.

As we report today, David Davis and Olly Robbins are representing conflicting views over how 'ambitious' the UK should be in the scope of the non-binding annex on trade and the future relationship. /2

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
It seems DD got his way in sending a letter asking Govt departments to tool up for Brexit negotiations, including teams of specialists.

Time will tell if this was a face-saving measure for the Brexit Secretary who has long argued UK must seek guts of a trade deal in A50. /3
Read 18 tweets
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#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

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