1. Ok. I’m going to take a crack at analyzing what we’re seeing yet again.
My request to twitter is - tear my analysis apart with scrutiny. Let’s see where the holes are.
My request to twitter is - tear my analysis apart with scrutiny. Let’s see where the holes are.
2. I’ll start with President Trump’s initial response to the IG report on Fox and Friends. Start at 13:00.
3. “I think it’s happening - it’s happening slowly but it’s happening. I think Christopher Wray is very different from Comey which you need, he’s like the opposite. He’s moving step by step”
4. “It’s all gonna happen, but I try to stay as much uninvolved as I can.”
5. As I said last week, Trump assigned Wray & Sessions two jobs when he hired them.
Bring wrongdoers to justice, and preserve / restore the integrity of the DOJ and FBI.
Bring wrongdoers to justice, and preserve / restore the integrity of the DOJ and FBI.
6. Unsurprisingly, no one asked Horowitz at the hearing today whether his interviewees were under oath. NO ONE is asking the question “how do we know these people are telling the truth?”
7. These people aren’t dumb. Horowitz himself would likely tell you that he knows that the testimony is BS, the witnesses are not credible, and the explanations for their actions, while conveniently phrased and mired in legalese and “do not recalls” are nonsense.
8. However, the FBI (OPR) and the OIG are tools in Sessions/Wray’s toolkit for the jobs they are trying to do.
9. Horowitz made very clear repeatedly that the OIG does not make value judgements about the veracity of its evidence, nor the investigative choices that were made. It’s not his role.
10. Lying to an OIG investigator is a felony, from what I found last week when the report came out. But it is not Horowitz’ job to demonstrate the lies when the evidence of that falls outside of the official “on record” stuff like testimony and documentation.
11. Likewise, Wray’s job cannot include demonstrating the falsifiability of FBI documentation or officials testimony - because by doing so he would eviscerate his own ability to produce such things later on (not to mention compromising a ton of unrelated FBI ongoing work)
12. We heard again about the empanelment of a Grand Jury today. We have heard nary a peep from the leak investigation, nor have we heard from Huber.
13. There was a moment, and I pointed this out, where Horowitz said that McCabe claimed something, and then abruptly reworded to “stated”
14. Horowitz must not make any judgement calls as to who was lying and who isn’t. His role is to publically memorialize all official evidence as it exists. That’s it.
15. If the public record has all of the documentation and testimony as a baseline starting point, Huber can easily begin to roll out proof in full sunlight as to where it is contradicted by “non official evidence”.
16. Material from personal accounts and devices, conversations off the record - all obtainable by Huber’s GJ but not obtainable by Horowitz’s strict by the books gathering of in-agency evidence.
17. By rolling the information out this way, Horowitz and Wray are able to continue to maintain their usefulness without the media and left screaming that they are being manipulated by Trump’s puppet strings (which would taint the eventual cases as well)
18. I’ve said many times that trying to prosecute this vast top level case is the most difficult legal undertaking in history.
19. The insiders have nearly unlimited tools at their disposal to ruin evidence, taint cases, spin narratives, and avoid justice.
20. In order to succeed, the DOJ must be able to convince a jury to unanimously declare guilt - and if they fail to do so, double jeopardy (and public exoneration) means that you never get another shot.
21. Just take a moment to consider how difficult a task that is - even with FANTASTIC evidence - in today’s climate.
22. It has to be a perfect checkmate. Getting all of these peoples’ statements firmly out there in the public record limits their options going forward. It is PAINSTAKINGLY slow.
23. They know this, but it’s the only way.
Get it all out there, then let Huber come in and prove them all liars. OIG maintains its integrity (we did not improperly assume bias based on the evidence we gathered), and can continue its work unhindered.
Get it all out there, then let Huber come in and prove them all liars. OIG maintains its integrity (we did not improperly assume bias based on the evidence we gathered), and can continue its work unhindered.
24. At the end of the day, I don’t think Trump is acting how we would expect if the walls were closing in on him. He’s actually acting like he knows the battle is won, and everything from here on out is cleanup.
25. Just keep watching.
/end
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