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OddStats @OddStats
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Ever wonder what the best or worst sectors were during the two big crashes of this century so far?

Be honest, how many of you guessed that Consumer Staples $XLP performed best (or rather, "least-bad") during both crashes?
First, the 2000-2002 Crash

$XLP $XLY $XLI $XLU $XLV $XLK $XLE $XLB $SPY $XLF
Then, the 2007-2009 Crash

$XLP $XLY $XLI $XLU $XLV $XLK $XLE $XLB $SPY $XLF
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Some trading advice I just made up:

⦿ Losing $1 hurts more than winning $100 feels good.
⦿ Making money is easy, keeping it is hard. That's a lie, making money is not easy.

1/7
⦿ No matter how many charts/stats/tables/hot tips you have, you're still just guessing and hoping.
⦿ You can lie to friends and family and strangers, but never lie to yourself.
⦿ Your system is probably crap and no better than a coin flip.

2/7
⦿ If you factor fees/comms/taxes into your P/L calculation up front, you won't waste so much time being angry about those necessary expenses later.
⦿ Businesses only care about you if that concern translates into revenue (directly or indirectly). Your broker is a business.

3/7
Read 7 tweets
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The S&P 500 went 142 days without a new All Time High, only to set new ones in 5 of the next 7 days.

Here are the [Next 50 Days] for the other 4 times since 1950 that $SPX went [at least that long] and then had [at least 5 new ATHs in 7 days].
Oddly, 35 trading days later, all 4 events were up almost exactly 1%.
And in case you were wondering how many more new All Time Highs $SPX set over the next [X] number of trading days, here you go.
Read 3 tweets
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Here's every date in the past 20 years that a #FAANG stock was down 20% or more in a single trading session.

data: @YahooFinance
$FB $AAPL $AMZN $NFLX $GOOG
5 of the 11 dates are in July.
4 of the dates are July 24th, 25th, or 26th.
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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If you need a little more #wonder in your life, I've got a few stories for you. Photo: The Hungarian countryside, via @petrosilov & @AP_Images 1/6 ⤵️
A Category 4 storm could not override the urge of spotted sea trout to move upstream and make babies. Underwater microphones captured mating sounds just before, after and even in the eye of Hurricane Harvey. nytimes.com/2018/11/15/sci… 2/6 #wonder ⤵️
We live in a time when we can access the best images available. The Art Institute of Chicago digitized & made free these 51,000 images, including classic paintings by Hopper, Seurat & Renoir. (Detail of Van Gogh’s “The Bedroom”): cnet.com/news/chicagos-… 3/6 #wonder ⤵️
Read 6 tweets
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Best News On Climate Change

N.Y. Times 2-column lead, "U.S. CLIMATE STUDY HAS GRIM WARNING OF ECONOMIC RISKS: Reduction of Up to 10 Percent in GDP."

That is 10% reduction by end of the century. At 3% annual GDP growth, GDP will grow by more than 700% in the same time frame.
It seems President Trump may be the only sane person in government. See above tweet. There's nothing in the U.S. climate study which warrants the adjectives "dire" and "grim." It's unhinged alarmism designed to spook the ignorant.
1. Fourth National Climate Change Assessment: Case For Optimism
Ignore all the misleading headlines on the above government report and actually try to read it if you have the time. It actually is quite un-alarming. I am surprised at how much good news it packs, between the lines.
Read 22 tweets
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45 Days Of @ElvisCostello: a twitter megathread in anticipation of the Oct 12 release date of LOOK NOW, the new LP by Elvis Costello & The Imposters

This is either a bright idea or a brilliant mistake, but this is only, this is only, this is only the beginning...
I did something similar to this 5 years ago, in anticipation of EC & @theroots' Wise Up Ghost LP, on tumblr.

(You can still find all those posts if you look, although a lot of the YouTube links etc are now dead ends. It was 40 Days Of EC then, so for 2018 I'm upping it to 45.)
Mostly I will be going chronologically from the early years right up to the present, but it feels right to start out with Costello's 2002 song, "45."

Music Video directed by @jessebdylan


(There's an alternate "diner" version I can't find anywhere online)
Read 2378 tweets
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Two big announcements from us today …

tl;dr: 😢😃💪✏️🎙️📻
First — after 3.5 years with @nprtraining and 15 (!) at @NPR, our colleague @ajmacadam will be leaving at the end of the month to try new things. We will miss her a lot! She’s made many lasting contributions to #pubmedia, including this: training.npr.org/audio/the-jour…
But in the spirit of turning 🍋➡️🍹, we are very excited to announce that our team is growing and we are hiring *three* people. If you want to push #PubMedia in innovative directions, read on. training.npr.org/blog/want-to-m… #pubjobs
Read 9 tweets
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During his life Edward Lovett (1852-1933) amassed a huge collection of objects mostly relating to his passion for folklore, charms, amulets and superstitions. #InternationalMuseumDay #IMD2018 #welovett #wehaveacharmforthat [THREAD]
Lovett worked for much of his life at the Bank of Scotland in London, rising to the rank of Chief Cashier, but in his leisure time he took great pleasure in his collecting trips to the working-class areas of London. #InternationalMuseumDay #IMD2018 #welovett #wehaveacharmforthat
Lovett searched all over London for these amuletic necklaces and drew this map charting were he had found them being sold. #InternationalMuseumDay #IMD2018 #welovett #wehaveacharmforthat
Read 12 tweets
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1) There’s a lot of BS about @nntaleb’s Black Swan, antifragility & skin in da game. Let’s take the gloves off and get into trouble.
2) When the Swan flew out, it was immediately butchered by imbeciles not understanding that you can’t predict the unpredictable.

That is the point – and an IQ filter NNT himself proly did not expect.
3) In any complex domain – life! – the Blackest Swan is always skulking around the corner. You know it’s coming, but you don’t know what where when. You can't tame what you've never even conceived of.

Can you get it?
Read 46 tweets

Trending hashtags

#MAGA #ALEC #JunkPlans #45DaysOfElvisCostello #Belgariad #haha #ItsTime #dc #CPAC2018 #Metabattle #InternationalMuseumDay #tinydesk #NationalWalkoutDay #Pompeo #firstlady #Acosta #repost #VisitTheUSA #makeamericagreatagain #TailorSnarkWars #PeakTV #Ivanka #SuperBowl #MarchForOurLives #KavanaughHearings

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