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OddStats @OddStats
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Here's every date in the past 20 years that a #FAANG stock was down 20% or more in a single trading session.

data: @YahooFinance
$FB $AAPL $AMZN $NFLX $GOOG
5 of the 11 dates are in July.
4 of the dates are July 24th, 25th, or 26th.
2 of those were @Netflix, 2 of those were @Amazon.

@Facebook can join them today.
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Some trading advice I just made up:

⦿ Losing $1 hurts more than winning $100 feels good.
⦿ Making money is easy, keeping it is hard. That's a lie, making money is not easy.

1/7
⦿ No matter how many charts/stats/tables/hot tips you have, you're still just guessing and hoping.
⦿ You can lie to friends and family and strangers, but never lie to yourself.
⦿ Your system is probably crap and no better than a coin flip.

2/7
⦿ If you factor fees/comms/taxes into your P/L calculation up front, you won't waste so much time being angry about those necessary expenses later.
⦿ Businesses only care about you if that concern translates into revenue (directly or indirectly). Your broker is a business.

3/7
Read 7 tweets
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The S&P 500 went 142 days without a new All Time High, only to set new ones in 5 of the next 7 days.

Here are the [Next 50 Days] for the other 4 times since 1950 that $SPX went [at least that long] and then had [at least 5 new ATHs in 7 days].
Oddly, 35 trading days later, all 4 events were up almost exactly 1%.
And in case you were wondering how many more new All Time Highs $SPX set over the next [X] number of trading days, here you go.
Read 3 tweets
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Ever wonder what the best or worst sectors were during the two big crashes of this century so far?

Be honest, how many of you guessed that Consumer Staples $XLP performed best (or rather, "least-bad") during both crashes?
First, the 2000-2002 Crash

$XLP $XLY $XLI $XLU $XLV $XLK $XLE $XLB $SPY $XLF
Then, the 2007-2009 Crash

$XLP $XLY $XLI $XLU $XLV $XLK $XLE $XLB $SPY $XLF
Read 3 tweets

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On #AAPL:
From 10y ago
nielsen.com/us/en/insights…

Recessions clean up the noise in the #market and are a great opportunity to rethink assumptions, spot where the real value is, and build for that.

A storm is coming, better learn to fly! 🚀
#Apple built the most successful business of all time around a mega hit product 📱

Saturation comes now in the verge of an economic slowdown that will clear the way for the next big revolution. And someone will surely bring spot the opportunity 💡

It may just not be Apple.
#iPhone launched just before a crisis that brought down the incumbents (Nokia, Motorola, Alcatel, Ericsson) and ate the PC 💻 , started a whole App economy and changed the world 🌎

I think #AI is that next big thing, it’s already here and will be the platform to build upon.
Read 15 tweets
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🚨 #DayTrading #SwingTrading #Options #Watchlist

Join our private coaching program for access to pre-planned trade ideas you can use to lock in gains of 100%+

$SPY
$SPX
$FB
$AAPL
$AMZN
$NFLX
$GOOG
$TSLA

DM me for VIP access when you're ready to get started? I'm here to help!
$MSFT
$BABA
$SPOT
$SHOP
$TWTR
$BA
$FB ww $132
Read 45 tweets
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⚠️ WARNING ⚠️ How Low Will The Dow Go⁉️ Stock market crashes to 22,000 after ⁦@stevenmnuchin1⁩ spooks investors. @realdonaldtrump told Mnuchin to call the banks. JFC -AMATEURS ‼️
cnn.com/2018/12/24/inv…
📉Market manipulation?
Read 8 tweets
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Kicking off day 1 of #ODSCWest. I'll be tweeting through the next few days and pinging #GCDigital folks for interest or potential follow-up. #opensource #DataScience #openeducation @School_GC
First up: @asuonline will be hosting an educational analytics conference in March 2019 focusing on what we can learn from learner data and how to structure learning to better meet learner needs. #ODSCWest
#AI differential - being able to tailor products to specific users == better able to predict value to and from users. E.g. cost to deliver value to user vs. cost to company to deliver that value. Allows ruthless competitive focus - @DataRobot #ODSCWest
Read 21 tweets
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Here's the story of how my trauma put a literal hole in my abdomen.

I'm typing as I go; please forgive typos and/or wonky syntax. And try to forgive me if halfway through it I delete and/or disappear. This story, this experience are still pretty raw.
Also, let me go ahead & disclaim:

I am no one. I am an authority on nothing.

I don't have a license to practice anything but driving.

Please never construe anything I ever say as medical, legal, or other advice.

I'm telling a story.

I wouldn't listen to me if I were you.
Let's start with #ACEs.

Y'all familiar w/the Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACE) Study? Published in 1998 & the basis for hundreds more pubs, which point to childhood trauma's impact across lifespan: the higher your "dose" of childhood trauma, the worse later outcomes tend to be
Read 99 tweets
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Here’s a thread with some pre-earnings thoughts and reads prior to the $SNAP Q2 earnings today.

Biggest thing I am looking for is the Snaps Created per Day metric (will probly have to wait for the 10-Q), updates on Bitmoji, content plans, and hints on the long-term AR strategy.
(This is not all-inclusive of my Snap thoughts, a few more that paint a bigger picture can be found in my earnings threads below from the past two quarters. Happy to discuss as I realize I have extremely an contrarian view on Snap.)

The context for Snap’s Q2 earnings is very interesting with the recent 20% post-earnings drops by FB and TWTR. Two big reasons for those drops:

1) Slowing/declining usage in North America and EU
2) Anticipated drop in FBs margins as it invests in things Snap did years ago
Read 43 tweets

Trending hashtags

#AI #PHOENCIA #ByePhoenicia #MeToo #trading #EgyptStation #RainMakers #machinelearning #CoffeeIsMyFriend #PaulMcCartney #ACEs #Fortune40 #ODSCWest #ridge #HappyLaborDay #Software2point0 #DataProtection #LostHighway #hodltard #iPhone #market #HERE #AccidentsWillHappen #MAGA #bias

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