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Bryce Baschuk @bbaschuk
, 3 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
.@USTradeRep is arguing that China can't challenge the US Section 301 tariffs at the @wto because they are not "measures affecting the operation of any covered agreement taken within the territory of" a WTO member. bit.ly/2L6i5Nq
Story here: bit.ly/2JC27ov ($)
@USTradeRep @wto This echoes previous comments from U.S. Ambassador to the @WTO Dennis Shea, who alleged various aspects of China's technology transfer policies cited in the @USTradeRep Section 301 investigation “do not appear to implicate specific WTO obligations.” bit.ly/2mtduGo
@USTradeRep @wto .@USTradeRep's approach suggests that if China asks the @wto to investigate its Section 301 dispute complaint (bit.ly/2uxqJdx) U.S. lawyers will likely argue Trump's tariffs are legal because they address trade violations that aren't covered by current WTO rules.
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In three months the UK plans to exit the EU.
Absent any transition agreement, the UK will become an independent member of the @wto and must ensure its joint WTO commitments are disentangled from the EU.
2/
@wto In order to become an independent @wto member the UK must do 3 things:
I) Re-join the Government Procurement Agreement
II) Submit an independent WTO goods schedule
III) Submit an independent WTO services schedule
3/
@wto I) GPA:
The UK has already taken steps to rejoin the @wto GPA - a $1.7 trillion plurilateral accord that governs public procurement rules among 46 nations.
Details here: bit.ly/2yA8IPk
4/
Read 25 tweets
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SCOOP: U.K. Wins Provisional Support to Join $1.7 Trillion @wto Deal:

bloom.bg/2BBzJ5e
@wto Today's GPA 'agreement in principle' is a huge improvement from a month ago & indicates that the UK was successful in its bilateral efforts to address concerns of GPA members -- such as Moldova (bloom.bg/2EENKTp) -- who objected to the U.K.'s market access offer in October
@wto Government Procurement Agreement members said their previous concerns have been addressed and they could now support an 'agreement in principle' on the U.K.'s market access offer to rejoin the GPA.
Read 12 tweets
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More from Geneva: Countries Reject EU-U.K. Plan to Shape Post-Brexit Trade at @wto - on @TheTerminal
@wto @TheTerminal More than a dozen countries on Tuesday said they opposed the European Union's proposal to modify its @wto commitments to account for Britain’s forthcoming departure from the European trading bloc.
@wto @TheTerminal The U.S., China, Japan, India, Russia, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, New Zealand, Australia and others said the EU’s plan is unacceptable because it includes inaccurate and incomplete trade data that may unfairly impact the bloc’s current @wto trade terms.
Read 4 tweets

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001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
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#China will attempt a forceful unification with #Taiwan by 2021, the centenary of the Chinese Communist Party. Xi's grand dream of national rejuvenation entails unifying all that #CCP considers Chinese lands, especially Taiwan.

This THREAD looks at this potential scenario.
The legitimacy of the #CCP regime under Xi is based on the twin pillars of economic growth and nationalism. For the party-state, unifying the mainland and Taiwan is critical to its aspirations of national rejuvenation and erasure of national humiliation.
Why would PRC force a unification as early as 2021? 1) 2021 is the centenary of the #CCP; anniversaries and dates have massive symbolic importance in China's political culture. 2) Xi wants unification to be part of his legacy. This is the only way that he can outshine #Mao.
Read 26 tweets
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"There's not a second meeting (with Kim Jong Un) that is locked in or finalized," says @PressSec.
"The goal is the end of the day is to end the unfair trade practices" by #China, replies @PressSec to question on further tariffs by US.
Tariffs hike meant to hold China's "feet to the fire," adds @PressSec.
Read 6 tweets
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"Trump has used Harley-Davidson as an example of a US business that is being harmed by trade barriers. Yet Harley has warned consistently against tariffs, saying they would negatively impact sales"

Harley, hit by tariffs, shifts some production overseas apnews.com/6c8942f7363743…
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Corker: "22,000 companies have asked for exemptions.There is no basis to deal with them. Are they going to grant these exclusions based on political contributions?"
Trump’s trade war with the European Union is going to cost Harley-Davidson as much as $100 million a year and force the manufacturer to shift production out of the U.S. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 232 tweets
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We will be live tweeting throughout the day, please follow #RUSILWC to stay up to date with the Land Warfare Conference.
The Welcoming Remarks and Strategic Context is being chaired by @kvonhippel. "@RUSI_org has it's roots in the British armed forces." #RUSILWC
General Mark Carleton-Smith, the new @ArmyCGS is now on the stage. "I'd like to extend a particular welcome to fellow Chiefs of Staff, 43 Nations are represented here, for a unique military gathering" #RUSILWC
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#MAGAFamily 🇺🇸WATCH NOW🔴LIVE: President Donald Trump holds GIGANTIC Rally in Washington, Michigan H/T @GST_Politics
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