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#BreakingNews:

#Syria #Idlib postponed until 15 of #Decembre to start with, with a 15km buffer zone and an engagement of #Turkey to disarm Nusra ( or merge it) and neutralise all other jihadists.
#Moscow has accepted to give #Ankara more time (for after the US sanctions really) to sort out #Idlib and the jihadists in the city, defusing the #US intention to bomb #Syria.

So: no job for warmongers for the next couple of months. Find another war.
#turkey wants the #idlib case to be postponed until the constitutional changes and the peace process to kickoff in #Geneva: more time for Idlib and Turkey to sort out its affairs with Syrian proxies.

All here in details:
ahtribune.com/world/north-af…
Read 6 tweets
Short THREAD on #Russia - #Turkey divergences over #Idlib as seen from #Moscow:
1. In early August I described rationale behind RU positon & that "certain level of understanding reached w/ TUR that there should be no [large-scale] offensive on Idlib [then]"almon.co/338t
2.I recently reached out to the same senior RUS diplomat who reiterated #Moscow's bottom-line desire to settle the issue peacefully except for terrorists organization who he argued #Turkey too agreed to fight as part of AStana agreements.Yesterday,RU #Syria envoy Lavrentyev..
3. .alluded to #Russia's growing displease w/ #Ankara's inability to deliver upon its committments in the area that, as Lavrentyev said"is kind of their zone of responsibility."Instead,#Erdogan writing op-eds,trying to enlist support from #West/ern partners over #Idlib which is..
Read 10 tweets
My take-away from #TehranSummit this far is #Russia, #Turkey, #Iran each, by & large, can be satisfied w/ its outcomes. #Moscow & #Tehran realized #Erdogan has bigger assets & higher stakes in #Idlib than, say, in southern #Syria where he let #Assad get the opposition, thus..
..the idea for the summit was to get a deal where all the 3 can secure their bottom-line interests.They didn't fully achieve it since there will be another round of trilateral talks (some time in the future in #Russia) and the parties hope to settle #Idlib issue in #Tehran but..
..(a) #Turkey maintained credibility of the oppoaition (by that good cop-bad cop thing #Erdogan & #Putun played), (b) #Russia got his promise to deal w/ those attacking #Hmeymim (c) #Ankara received time to settle the major task of assorting militants (d)..
Read 4 tweets
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BIG: #Russia's @kommersant leaks confidential #UN directive on "Parameters & Ptinviples of assistance to #Syria" that #Moscow earlier slammed as "example of #West/ern manipulation of secretariats of international organizations"
The part that #Russia most critical of:"#UN not going to promote the return of refugees & IDP but will support the returnees with a view to ensuring the safe, dignified informed, voluntary, & sustainable nature of return & reintegration...right of Syrians tp seek & enjoy asylum"
#UN, however, stresses centralitu of this parameter: "Only once there's a genuine & inclusive political transition negotiated by the parties, would the UN be ready to facilitate reconstruction [of #Syria."
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#Syria's FM Muallem in #Moscow today following trips by #Turkey's @MevlutCavusoglu & #KSA's al-Jubeir. 2/3 of their presser Lavrov and Muallem speak of #US, #Idlib, #Russia/n contacts w/ #Ankara, then Lavrov says.. 1/3
"..from my contacts w/ al Jubeir, other colleagues from the region it appears they all grew stronger in understanding that the reality is government of #Syria providing sovereignty & legitimate security interests of its country."
3/3 #Lavrov concludes: "#Russia always urged unity in #Arab family. Today the family has many problems. But we argue for it to live the way they want in their region. and resist attempts to have their own interests manipulated for the sake of someone else's geopolitical goals."
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. @AmbJohnBolton sat down with #Russia's NSC Sec in Geneva for about 5 hours talking international security issues, #Ukraine, #Syria, #Iran. Earlier this year Patrushev was placed on #US sanctions list but said "it was no impediment for him to be meeting [American officials]"
Patrushev came to meeting w/ @AmbJohnBolton w/ a set of proposals #Moscow been elaborating for over a month. One of them allegedly included pull-back of #Iran/ian forces in #Syria in exchange for softening #sanctions on #Tehran. #US rejected the proposal.
Patrushev says himself & #Bolton failed to sign a joint communique cuz "#US wanted to include the point on "#Russia/n interference" which we didn't find acceptable.We,in turn,asked them to state that US own interference into other states' affairs is unacceptable - they refused"
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Preparations appear to be underway for a pro-#Assad offensive on #Idlib.

12hrs of on/off air & artillery strikes vs. southeastern & western #Idlib & northern #Hama - see marks on map (original by @ETANA_Syria + my additions).

+ multiple large pro-regime convoys moving north.
@ETANA_Syria #pt: If/when any major military campaign gets underway, expect the #Assad regime (+ #Russia & #Iran-backed militias) to focus on these 2 fronts:

1) West #Idlib (Jisr al-Shughour)
2) N. #Hama/#SE #Idlib (Latamineh, Khan Sheikhoun, Kafrazita)

-> a gradual push ‘inland’ & north.
@ETANA_Syria Very good by @theIRC’s @DMiliband:

- The West must “re-assert” itself & protect civilians in NW #Syria & as a backstop, safe-routes should be opened for civilians to flee into #Turkey.

- UNSC must demand full access to S #Syria; for aid, monitoring etc.

washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-w…
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The #US-#Russia expert group that #Putin & #Trump agreed to establish during Helsinki Summit will be led by Alexander Dynkin,President of Institute of World Economy & International Relations (IMEMO) (Rus Academy of Science) &Thomas Graham,managing director of Kissinger Associates
Prof.Dr. Dynkin renowed #Russia/n academic well-connected to both Rus expert community,political circles (incl Rus gov, MFA).
Mr.Graham worked on Rus at NSA under G.W.Bush,researcher @Yale.
Both men frequent visitors to Rus/US, well-known to respective crowds in both countries
#Moscow came up w/ the idea of bilateral expert council that "will seek tangency points & think thru how to get the international coop to a sustainbale track." #Kremlin believs the council shld be tasked with "crafting a new philosophy of the #US-#Russia rels."
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⚡⚡🤯 👇👇#Giuliani “Why don’t you write a report and show us what you have, because they don’t have a goddamn thing,” said Trump's lawyer yesterday. Okay. Here goes. Time to revisit what we already know. Oldie but goodie. I am sure Mueller has more. thedailybeast.com/giuliani-on-ru….
2. Of, for your convenience, unrolled, thank you, the unroller magician, for all you do. threadreaderapp.com/thread/9873311…
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Thread.
Selected list of #indictments and #sentencings
July 25, 26, 27, 2018
👇
1. Kansas City Area Laboratory Owner Convicted of Illegally Storing Radioactive Waste.
Beta Chem Laboratory has been mishandling and improperly disposing of radioactive waste for years.

#BetaChem #radiation #radioactivewaste #EPA #carbon14

justice.gov/opa/pr/kansas-…
2. Guatemalan Man Admits Robbing and Threatening Happy State Bank Employee with a Pipe Bomb

#HappyStateBank 😃

justice.gov/usao-ndtx/pr/g…
Read 19 tweets
1.Dimitri #Peskov serves as the spin doctor and press secretary of #Putin, but whats not discussed at length is #Peskov´s involvement in #Trump´s effort to build #TrumpTowerMoscow

#Trump #Putin #Sater #Peskov #TrumpTowerMoscow #Cohen
2.Publicly known is that #Trump has tried to build #TrumpTowerMoscow for 30 years, #Trump believes that #Moscow one of the hottest places for investments, and that #Russia is nuts for him.

#Trump #Putin #Sater #Peskov #TrumpTowerMoscow #Cohen

thedailybeast.com/trumps-russia-…
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Extraordinary.

Acc. to @BarakRavid sources, #Russia has told #Israel that it'll seek to force #Iran 100km away from #Israeli-held 1974 #Golan line.

That means all territory west of the red line on map (L).

= A truly wild fantasy.

Look where #Iran is now (R); per @ETANA_Syria:
@BarakRavid @ETANA_Syria #Israel has shot down an #Assad regime Sukhoi fighter jet, which took off from T4 Airbase & flew 2km into Israeli airspace.

x2 Patriot SAM missiles were used & multiple messages sent in multiple languages prior to shoot-down.

Another example of #Russia’s value in de-escalation.
@BarakRavid @ETANA_Syria #pt: Just 36hrs ago was #Israel's first operational use of the "David’s Sling" SAM system, used to down #Assad ballistic missiles.

Yesterday, #Russia’s MFA & MOD visited #Jerusalem to firm-up their security arrangements with #Israel.

I wrote that #Moscow is incapable - clearly.
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#Russia, #Israel, #US & #Jirdan eventually negotiated departure of 422 #WhiteHelmets & their families out of #Syria (initial number was reportedly 827).#Canada, #Germany, #UK also involved in talks, each agreed to host them. Some 3750 activists remain in SYR.
#Moscow reportedly didnt allow direct passage of #WhiteHelmets to #Jordan (hence evacuation thru #Israel)while #Amman agreed to temporarily accept 'em only after guarantees frm West states they'd host them.#Canada to host 250 (activists+families),#Germany -8 activists +?families
In #Moscow, #WhiteHelmets evacuation said to be a part of #HelsinkiSummit agreements on #Syria, #GolanHeights. The very operation was thoroughly coordinated by #Israel's Lieberman & #Russia's Shoigu as well as discussed by #Putin & @netanyahu in latest phone call.
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#Russia's Amb. to #US Anatoly Antonov speaking @ValdaiClub says #Moscow is ready to discuss #Putin's visit to #Washington
reut.rs/2NvnRoj
Antonov adds,another group of #US lawmakers are planning to visit #Russia following a rare trip to #Moscow by Republican members of #Congress this month.The Ambassador noted, however,there was little chance of a trip by Russian lawmakers to #America before congressional elections
Antonov: Politicians in #Washington are very far from the people. What they are doing doesn't meet interests of American people.
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#BreakingNews:
Journalist on the ground in #Syria confirm all busses (121) that evacuated 6900 civilians and militants from Fua and Kfarya arrived safely to gov controlled area.

Many busses, according to eye witness, have been stoned (broken glasses).
In exchange pop Fuas and Kfarya, Jihadists and prisoners (1500) crossed in direction of #Idlib, the biggest concentration of Jihadists and militants evacuated from all over #Syria and under Turkish controlled zone.
#Russia managed to satisfy #Damascus and #Tehran will to free Fua and Kfarya without a fight.

Assad wanted to push #SAA in direction of Fua and Kfarya (sieged since April 2015) at the beginning of this year but #Moscow asked him to be patience.

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1.Since 2005 #Russian Oligarchs have syphoned $335 Billion stolen money out of #Russia Putin himself is worth $200 Billion, and they are doing it using #Bitcoin, because its fast and effective, they use parts of it to interfere in elections.

#Trump #Putin #Bitcoin #Treason
2. One of the "henchmen" used by #Russia was Alexander Vinnick, who was arrested by @FBI laundering $4 Billion in dirty money through #Bitcoin.

#Trump #Putin #Bitcoin #Treason

businessinsider.com/us-indicts-ale…
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A few thoughts on today's extraordinary meeting. Vladimir #Putin hinted that the FSB does indeed have #kompromat on Trump. Putin said he didn't know about #Trump's 2013 visit to Moscow, therefore this material can't exist. A non sequitur. Conclusion: there is a tape
Putin's offer to cooperate with Mueller is playful trolling. Mueller's agents won't be travelling to #Moscow anytime soon. In 2006 the Kremlin offered to cooperate in the Litvinenko murder probe. UK detectives visited Russia and were given the run-around, used as pawns in PR game
The limits of British diplomacy were woefully exposed. Theresa May had asked #Trump to raise the novichok poisoning of the Skripals and the death of Dawn Sturgess. Trump didn't and appears to have forgotten about them. No mention today of (alleged) #Russian state murder ops
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This is my THREAD on #HelsinkiSummit where I'll report/analyze all coming & subsequent developements from #Russia's POV:
1. Here's my take on #Putin-#Trump encounter for @ispionline where I argue the summit may have high hopes, but modest expectations
ispionline.it/it/pubblicazio…
2. This is what #Putin heads into #HelsinkiSummit with in terms of #Syria, #Iran: almon.co/32y5
3. #Putin & #Trump will be meet face-to-face around noon (1pm #Moscow time). The leaders have at least 3 hours scheduled for themselves after which they will proceed to another room for working lunch in a broader format with ministers and advisers.
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In a few days left before #HelsinkiSummit b/n #Putin @realDonaldTrump I'l be using this THREAD to share my own & my @AlMonitor colleagues' works and reports on what the two presidents may and may not achieve on #Syria, #Russia/#US-related developemnts b/n #Israel and #Iran, etc.
1. In our latest @AlMonitor #Russia-Mideast @lavmir brings an interesting story of recent talks b/n @netanyahu - #Putin in #Moscow
almon.co/32xg
There're types of reads that good you regret it wasnt you who authored them. To me this exclusive take for @AlMonitor by #Russia's leading foreign policy analyst Fyodor Lukyanov on a possible #Syria deal b/n #Putin & #Trump is in this category al-monitor.com/pulse/original…
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Top international adviser to #Iran's SP Ali Akbar Velayati speaking @ValdaiClub now:says term #MiddleEast is British concept, he'd rather use West Asia/North Africa,argues due to #US influence some countries seek to play greater regional role (than they can)
Velayati:*throughout history external powers sought to dominate Mideast, #US no exception here, #Libya, #Somalia brought manifestations of western FP,#Trump seeks to undermine region,he wants to partition #Syria as they did w/ 🇱🇾 & #Iraq - bith once big, important states
Velayati: New element is after Islamic Revolution #Iran able to conduct policies independent of Western states, this is real reason why #US seeks to counter IRN.But if ot were not for #Russia & IRN, Leader of Nusra would be ruling today in #Damascus, head of #ISIS-in #Baghdad.
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New evergreen Tweet? "Netanyahu asks Putin to remove #Iran's forces from #Syria."

@AcrossTheBay @JSchanzer & I describe the stakes & provide policy options in @FDD's "Controlled Chaos: The Escalation of Conflict between #Israel & Iran in War-Torn Syria" defenddemocracy.org/media-hit/badr…
The need for our new report and recommendations therein is best summed up two maps indicating today's developments in #Syria:
It's a few hours after Putin & Netanyahu met in #Moscow to discuss the removal of #Iran from #Syria. #Israel responded to the UAV that crossed into its airspace from Syria with strikes at 3 military posts near its border.
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#BREAKING: A reminder to those keeping track, the Red Alerts usually come from rockets from #Gaza, not from #Syria or #Lebanon as this would suggest. #Netanyahu is in #Moscow meeting with #Putin about #Iran’s presence in #Syria. Hoping this is a false alarm.
Netanyahu set to meet #Putin in #Moscow seeking Iran’s ouster from #Syria
i24news.tv/en/news/intern…
#BREAKING: #Israel Defense Forces confirm the #RedAlert was real, a drone approached, and they fired a Patriot missile.
Read 8 tweets
NEW on coming #Putin @realDonaldTrump summit: (2nd THREAD)
1. In recent days #Moscow passed a two-page document to #Washington that should serve as a basis/draft for a bilateral communique the two Presidents should present after the #Helsinki talks.
2. According to #Rus sources #US accepted the paper but insisted an issue of "#Russia/n interference into American elections in 2016" is mentioned with due guarantees that this doesn't happen again.
Source: kommersant.ru/doc/3681374?fr…)
3. Other statements on paper allegedly include themes of"sustaining dialogue b/n #Russia/n, #US officials,diplomats,military&security services" as well as development of economic ties,promotion of people-to-people contacts.Bilateral coop called one of factors for global stability
Read 14 tweets
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