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Jill Rutter @jillongovt
, 8 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
I have a rule never to tweet about football because its so inferior to tennis and cricket BUT........... intriguing football and #brexit story in today's @Telegraph telegraph.co.uk/football/2018/…
@Telegraph So football wants an exemption from new migration regime for EU nationals.. I hope that special pleading is rejected.
@Telegraph ducks.... this will be an interesting real world example of the impact of #brexit. In the short run quality and value of premier league will (probably) go down
@Telegraph but clubs will be forced to give more opportunities to young Brits squeezed out by the fact that - for example - Arsenal cd recruit a 16 yr old Fabregas..
@Telegraph they will be forced to invest more in growing local players... and the home nation teams might get stronger...
@Telegraph end result will be potentially poorer premier league.. but it will soldier on.. less diverse.. less able to command massive global support...
@Telegraph but it might be possible to go to see a Premier League match with more UK players.. and maybe some people will enjoy that more..
@Telegraph and I'll not care as I'll continue to watch tennis and cricket
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More from @jillongovt see all

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my suggestion to help the PM - EU agrees to set up a working group of technical experts as soon as WA passed to investigate and make recommendations on "technological and facilitative arrangements"
can include any experts nominated by the UK (so all the ERG's favourite experts) and reps from HMRC and Defra and Irish authorities + EU experts.
set a deadline to report by October 2019 so can be fed into the discussions on the long-run future relationship... and have it chaired by a neutral. Both sides agree to consider conclusions carefully as part of "best endeavours"
Read 4 tweets
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An eventful day in parliament.. govt went down to a defeat on contempt instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/con… - and will publish AG legal advice
that will look at the NI backstop - and presumably contains some warning on how hard it is to exit instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/no-easy-e… spoiler: it is
the govt then went down on an amendment to the business motion on the meaningful vote instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/par…
Read 15 tweets
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Interesting bits from the Prime Minister’s #Brexit letter …bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…. The absolute primacy of ending free movement as the driver of the Referendum result- perhaps the one Leave argument she personally buys..
But ending FOM for EU citizens also removes it from UK citizens. PM does not mention that.
Second the stress on the benefits of ending vast annual payments.. But she knows that direct savings will not be huge as we take over programmes (CAP, replacement structural funds), incur costs of setting up own agencies
Read 21 tweets

Related threads

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SO. #Brexit boils down to how - or if - the UK can ever leave the dreaded Irish backstop.

There is talk of a "review mechanism". So what might that be? How might it work?

Some thoughts after chats with both sides + experts 1/Thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
Let's start from the point of agreement.

Both sides say backstop is
a) necessary
b) temporary
c) should be superseded by future relationship

So there does need to be what one EU source calls an "unwinding" mechanism. /2
The problem (before we get to the detail of that mechanism) is that no-one can see what version of the Future Relationship can deliver on UK commitment to no return to a hard border in Ireland.

May's dual tariff or 'MaxFac' unicorns are dead. /3
Read 17 tweets
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The #Brexit tunnellers are tunnelling in pursuit of that elusive crock of gold - a deal.

What are they trying to finesse? How are they trying to close a deal? Here's what I know after chats with both sides. 1/Thread
As we all know, "it's the backstop, stupid" that is the problem.

But more specifically, how long the backstop lasts, and whether the UK can ever leave it.

This is the crux of the matter. /2
Last week was a big step forward, with the EU tentatively agreeing to write an all-UK customs arrangement *into* the Withdrawal Agreement.

So not a promise to do this in the future, but an operable text that requires no subsequent additions to function. /3
Read 16 tweets
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Brexit is the backstop; the backstop is #Brexit.

After 3 days in Belfast, talking to all sides, here's what I've learned - on the business and the politics of this deal. And its viability.

1/Thread
First the business/technical aspects of how a backstop would work.

I talked to business lobby groups, Stephen Kelly from @ManufacturingNI fresh back from talks with Barnier. And bosses of big companies.

The are surprisingly sanguine. /2

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
@ManufacturingNI If the backstop emerges as the British want (and that is still an 'if') it would look as follows:

- all-UK in a temporary customs Union
- Northern Ireland only in Single Market for goods, via devolution
- no checks GB-NI
- 'de-dramatised checks on regs NI-GB

/3
Read 26 tweets
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The Salzburg summit looms, Raab plays to home crowd over the #Brexit bill, everyone 'wants' a deal ...but yet no-one can explain what it will look like.

So what is happening with #Brexit? Some thoughts after chats with both sides. 1/Thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
The first point is that the clock is ticking, but time is standing still.

Raab talks about "good progress" but actually talks are at a standstill. He bounces around looking all perky and boxerly, but there's isn't much to say. On the tough stuff anyway. /2
Barnier says divorce deal is "80%" done, and deal can be clinched in 6-8 weeks IF the Brits are "realistic".

Markets jump for joy, but they overlook that "IF" and what Barnier means by "realistic".

So what does he mean? /3
Read 25 tweets
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So today, and all this week, @Telegraph is publishing a piece on the 'Future of Europe'.

First up, it's not a bashing exercise. It's a serious look at where the EU finds itself as one its largest members departs.

A fulcrum moment... 1/thread

telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/09/1…
@Telegraph I'm first up, reporting from the conservative heartlands of Poland (Kobylin-borzymy) and asking what the EU does about the newly assertive eastern states, who are not homogenising as everyone assumed...turns out history is not dead. /2
@Telegraph I ask how the EU's liberal establishment - the one that got the 2015 migrant crisis so catastrophically wrong - should respond. Should it:

Confront: (Article 7) and risk a backlash

Check (Court cases, cash cuts)

Accommodate (and relegate to outer ring) /3
Read 13 tweets
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#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets

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