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Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Dem handwringing is way premature. The Senate was always too steep a climb, and Beto and Nelson are still very much in it. House and governors' races still looking reasonably good, with a few exceptions.
2/ Toss-up governors' races in Kansas, Michigan, and elsewhere looking good... a *bunch* of Dem House pickups... 31 Dems leading in GOP districts, only 6 going the other way... calm down, everybody. This could still be an okay night for Democrats. So much counting left. So much.
3/ If you are in line *anywhere*, *stay in line*. *Particularly* in large cities in Florida and Georgia.
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NOTE: Today's "failed" Manafort redactions (including revelations that Manafort secretly negotiated on Ukraine with a Kremlin spy) put the thread below in an *entirely* new light. If you didn't read it when I posted it a few days ago, I'd strongly suggest taking a look at it now.
2/ Those who follow my feed regularly know my name-spelling game is usually pretty tight; I'm good at avoiding typos. In this case, I want to note the obvious: that having correctly spelled Konstantin Kilimnik's name a million times in my book and elsewhere, I misspelled it here.
PS/ I put "failed" in quotes here not to suggest that Manafort's attorneys were deliberately incompetent, but just as a way of explaining to those who don't know the whole story that there were redactions that were done improperly and therefore failed to redact critical material.
Read 3 tweets
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(THREAD) A couple days ago, MSNBC's @maddow presented compelling preliminary evidence that Trump gets intelligence and propaganda from Kremlin sources. Tonight I'll add to her report in a significant way by discussing the meeting pictured below. I hope you'll read on and retweet.
1/ VANITY FAIR has credited this feed with being the first to recognize the significance of the March 31, 2016 meeting Trump convened—at the Trump International Hotel DC—of his "National Security Advisory Committee." I can tell you @NatashaBertrand deserves a lot of credit, too.
2/ It was a single line from an article (below) Bertrand published on March 3, 2017 that caused me to spend hundreds of tweets dissecting all aspects of a meeting media had previously thought unimportant.

It turns out it could be more key than I realized. businessinsider.com/jd-gordon-trum…
Read 51 tweets
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Trump juxtaposing the shutdown and impeachment is no accident. True or not, it is likely he thinks that the longer the government isn't functioning properly, the longer it takes Democrat-led House committees to do the Trump-Russia investigative work the Republicans refused to do.
2/ Make no mistake: Trump's ambition is to forestall the impeachment question just long enough to have the Republican and Democratic primary processes start in earnest. At that point, he and his lawyers will say that *voters* should be allowed to decide Trump's fate—not Congress.
3/ Trump will only have to convince 34 Senate Republicans to vote against his conviction, so developing a rhetorical argument that says impeachment must not interfere with the right of voters to choose their leaders is incredibly important for Trump. And this argument could work.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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1⃣ Let's take a look at how the Senate works. I've spoken to a decent segment of certain political persuasions to warrant a fresh look. At first, specifically be concerning voting procedures. #Senate ⬇️

#SchumerShutdown #SchoolHouseRock #BuildTheWall @DNC #WeThePeople
2⃣ Aside from Revenue(tax) bills, bills can originate either in the House, the Senate or both simultaneously. When the bill has been polished it goes to a vote. There are two primary types of vote & one that is considered a countermeasure. #Senate ⬇️

#SchumerShutdown @DNC
3⃣ Out of Roll Call, Voice Vote & Division Vote, Voice is most used. The bill is brought to a vote & Senators verbally call off 'Yea' or 'Nay'. The presiding officer mentally tallies the verbal vote as best they can & announces the results. #Senate ⬇️

#SchumerShutdown @DNC
Read 15 tweets
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Within weeks of the Orlando nightclub shooting, Sen. Tom Udall (D-NM) participated in a sit-in at the House to demand votes on gun control legislation, saying, "We owe it to the LGBT community & all families harmed by gun violence to keep terror suspects from obtaining guns."
Since he was first elected to Congress in 1998, Sen. Udall has taken a leadership role on a wide array of environmental issues, receiving a lifetime score of 96% from the League of Conservation Voters.
#DemSenate2020 #DemsWork4USA #DemFuture #ForThePeople
Sen. Udall was one of the original co-sponsors of the Arctic Wilderness Bill, and more recently has worked closely with the Navajo and Pueblo nations in New Mexico to oppose new leasing, drilling and fracking near Chaco Canyon National Park. #DemSenate2020 #DemFuture
Read 29 tweets
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Expositior's #ElectionDay NetLoss 2018 v 2010

House
GOP -35 ('18)
DNC -63 ('10)

Senate
GOP +4 ('18)
DNC -6 ('10)

Govs
GOP -7 ('18)
DNC -11 ('10)

State Legislators
GOP -330 ('18)
DNC -700 ('10)

State Chambers
GOP -5 ('18)
DNC -20 ('10)

Both Chambers
GOP -0 ('18)
DNC -6 ('10)
There is no getting away from the fact the GOP defied history. Outside of the House, Dems did horribly in their "Blue Wave" year.

Besides losing FL (Nelson and Gillium are done), they lost IN, ND, MO and nearly lost MT.
In addition (and being overlooked by MSM), Ds barely clung to their Senate seats in OH and MI (Michigan!), both states Trump won.

Caveats, like the closeness of the TX and AZ races are not really good news for Dems and are ALL ABOUT LOCAL POLITICS....
Read 6 tweets
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Wow. Justice Democrats had a really, really bad inaugural election cycle. They backed 75 non-incumbents. 23 advanced to the general. Only 4 of them won, all in *very* safe (78% - 100%) Dem seats. 4 out of 75 = 5% win record. 😳
Brand New Congress fared even worse. Their initial goal was to flip all 435 House seats. Failing to attract candidates, they adjusted to “a few select” seats. Only 11 of their original candidates made it to the GE and only ONE won: Ocasio-Cortez. 0.2% of their orig goal. 🤷🏼‍♀️
Despite the noise you hear on Twitter and from TYT (involved in creating JusticeDems) and former Sanders staffers (founders of BNC), seems pretty clear voters are *not* clamoring for candidates to move further left. Proof is in the pudding. 🍮
Read 5 tweets
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#QAnon.pub

Why is WAPO dedicated to attacking this movement?
WASH POST owned by AMAZON?
ABC's & AMAZON
theatlantic.com/technology/arc…
If we aren't a threat—or real—or simply just a conspiracy theory—why the [constant] heavy attacks?

[Information Warfare][IW] (…
#QAnon 🦅 QAnon.pub @POTUS (((Q+))) #WWG1WGA!!!


Eyes on, VIP Patriot!
Q
#QAnon🦅 @POTUS

Your Country Needs You.
Your Vote Matters!
We, the People.

The Time is Now.
Patriots Fight!
– Ephesians 6:10-18
– Declaration of Independence
We Will Do Our Job to Protect the Vote.
Will You Do Yours?
Will You Answer the Call?
WWG1WGA!!!
Q
Read 87 tweets
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time to distract ourselves with long-ago forums drama screemshots, lads. a few days ago i started reading one of the infamous phenazepam threads on TCC (The Crackhead Clubhouse), a subforum of Something Awful dedicated to drugs. this is a very weird thread but i'll do my best
in 2009, phenazepam was a legal benzodiazepine. you could buy it on ebay or from various research chemical sites with little fear of scams or legal trouble. phenazepam was a soviet drug developed in 1975. i think its still legal in some states but check this out lol:
alright enough preamble. the TCC thread starts out relatively slowly as various posters order phenazepam, which forums user dethkon (aka SOME PIG) nicknamed Da Joose, a name which stuck instantly because every TCC poster long ago smoked themselves dumbshit
Read 49 tweets

Trending hashtags

#SeeSomethingSaySomething #MAGA #England #GOPTaxScam #VoteRedCA #NRA #Caucasian #House #BrowardCo #OIGReport #white #Revelation #amquerying #POTUS #happyhalloween #WeKNOW #IStandWithCorbyn #SaveOurChildren #GodBlessAmerica #anti #Israelites #Cloture #PanicInDC #PatriotsFight #StepBack

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