Thread by @Beccabluesky

@JKSteinberger @MrMatthewTodd @EricHolthaus @ExtinctionR @BBC I think at 2C warming most areas will lose their hold on governance as we know it, because we will not be able to feed populations reliably in many areas.

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@JKSteinberger @MrMatthewTodd @EricHolthaus @ExtinctionR @BBC 2C already brings too many droughts, too many heat waves, too many fires, too many flood events, too many hurricanes, too many tornadoes, too many hail storms, too much expanded pest and plant/livestock disease range.

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@JKSteinberger @MrMatthewTodd @EricHolthaus @ExtinctionR @BBC In short, too many failed harvests, too many of which will be because of events that also leave communities homeless or having to rebuild.

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@JKSteinberger @MrMatthewTodd @EricHolthaus @ExtinctionR @BBC If we manage to recruit armies of food producers in advance of 1.5C warming to add to the 2% of the population here who currently produce food, we *might* hold on to governability, at least so far as "we can keep people fed" is concerned.

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@JKSteinberger @MrMatthewTodd @EricHolthaus @ExtinctionR @BBC The good news?

I'm not formally educated on ANY of this; I just have a lot of time to follow what's being studied/written/said/discussed &enough education to a) hopefully understand which are reliable sources & b) think deeply about how the info fits together/what it will mean.

@JKSteinberger @MrMatthewTodd @EricHolthaus @ExtinctionR @BBC So I can be off the mark.

And we all want me to be off the mark, even me.

I'd love for us to have more wiggle room than I currently think we do.

@JKSteinberger @MrMatthewTodd @EricHolthaus @ExtinctionR @BBC However, here's today's installment of "we can only imagine how challenging it will be to feed the world in a 1.5C future, if we're already concerned with what's happening at 0.8C" -

amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/d…