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Steve Peers @StevePeers
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
1/ Some additional points to add to David's fact check of the latest no deal Brexit claims
2/ The "no deal is more legally certain" claim is false. I debunked this nonsense in a previous thread
3/ As for rolling over existing FTAs: even if they are all in place on time with identical terms, the UK trading position will be worse because the rules of origin will change, ie goods partly produced in the UK may no longer count as EU goods
4/ On road haulage and flights issues: the EU unilateral measures give less market access to the UK than EU membership or the withdrawal agreement transition period, and are both limited in time, more so than the transition period. //
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More from @StevePeers see all

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1 It's not a documentary. But to see how closely #Idanielblake matches reality, let's have a look at some details from the UN report on poverty in the UK: ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/…
2 Impact of the delay in receiving universal credit - based on a study on its roll out in the North East.
3 Impact of sanctions in the universal credit system, based also on research
Read 8 tweets
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1/ Let's take a look at Mr Nelson's support for the rights of @The3Million, shall we? Because the record is...chequered.
2/ He was on a @britishfuture inquiry (with me and others) that recommended unilateral guarantees for @The3Million in December 2016. Details here: eulawanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/12/bargai…
3/ The Leave MPs on the inquiry, Stuart and Braverman, then voted *against* such guarantees a few months later. IIRC Nelson tweeted his agreement. The purity of the Article 50 bill could not be sullied etc. My take on Stuart: google.com/url?sa=i&sourc…
Read 7 tweets
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1/ Let's have a look at this. There's some merit to the political arguments, but the EU legal arguments are weak or confused. It's possible to discuss this without the objective of "attacking" - or defending- Jeremy Corbyn.
2/ The core of the EU legal argument is confused, because the EU legislation on allocation of MEPs provides for the election of UK MEPs, as a Plan B, if the UK is an member at the time of the EP elections. No need for Treaty amendments or EU legislation on election to change.
3/ The claim that extension of EU membership would be legally "questionable" is unsubstantiated. The possibility of an extension is explicitly provided for in Article 50, without any conditions attached besides a unanimous vote. The CJEU mentioned extension in a recent judgment.
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

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.@SadiqKhan has told @MichelBarnier that EU should start preparations for extending art 50 talks just in case Westm votes down #Brexit deal &instructs GOV to hold a referendum: theguardian.com/politics/2018/…; here's is #thread why LONGER extension than 4-6 weeks isn't straightforward
1. Academic research by @ConUnit_UCL suggests that one needs around 6 M to hold referendum; the preparations to hold a vote include eg. pushing through legislation, assessing intelligibility of the Q on the ballot, preparing polling stations and securing the time for the campaign
2. The first possibility to instruct GOV to hold a vote would be when MPs vote on withdrawal agreement. Looking at the pace of the talks the deal (if it is reached at all) could be presented to Parliament the earliest in DEC; this means that the REF could be held around June/July
Read 11 tweets
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1) thread - "the left behind" & #Brexit
Can get very angry about this but think it's worthwhile tweeting about the "but what about the cry of despair/austerity led causes of #Brexit?" faction (see below)

A step by step guide to analysing that position

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
2) firstly - is there inequality? Yes. Has austerity hit hard? Yes. Are you angry about it? Of course. Is it tied to #Brexit?

Let's see
3) Firstly, prove to yourself that vast numbers of the *impacted* working class voted for #Brexit. Not from hearsay or "why can't we just leave" tantra on Question Time or the financially secure but *actual proof* that working people voted for #Brexit as a response to austerity
Read 8 tweets
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Yesterday @bbcnickrobinson made a disturbing mistake, while interviewing Jean-Claude Trichet about #Brexit and financial services for the Today Program (@BBCR4Today)
The mistake boils down to broadcasting demonstrably false information, I assume @BBCNews will want to rectify.
1/9
The details.
The offending claim was made shortly after 1:15:03 (running time). Full audio is here: bbc.co.uk/programmes/b09…
Transcription:
@bbcnickrobinson "..it is a year to go until Britain is due to leave the EU and there is no evidence that Britain is changing her mind.."
2/9
Nick's claim is unquestionably false, but concurrently aligned with what the current government would like us to believe.
Thus, the growing suspicions that part of the BBC is becoming a mere mouthpiece for the government appear disturbingly founded. I expect a retraction.
3/9
Read 25 tweets
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THREAD (1) When the likes of Hannan feel the need to 'brush off' something so critical to the right-wing/neo-con #Brexit wet dream, we find digging a little deeper to be useful. After all, ground breaking 'shadow trade deals' with right-wing US think tanks is no small fish.
(2) In fact, given the growing negativity surrounding the #Brexit negotiations, compounded by the Govts' own damning economic analysis, one would have thought Hannan and Fox et al, would be shouting from the roof tops about their bespoke 'shadow US-UK trade deal.' Wouldn't you?
(3) The problem for our intrepid trade deal making duo, as almost always, is to be found in the detail; just what are, and who is, behind these neo-con US think tanks? Perhaps Daniel would enlighten us?
Read 21 tweets
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#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets
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THREAD: Disagreement on the ECJ's role remains one of the biggest hurdles in #Brexit talks. This is how to vault it.
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/d…
There will be fun graphics and a moody photo of me in a carefully chosen shirt along the way. Stay with me.
Basics: UK and EU need a dispute resolution mechanism to sort disagreements about the meaning and implementation of the Brexit deal(s).
Read 26 tweets

Trending hashtags

#FactsAreFacts #NeverForget #Lexiters #9b #PeoplesVoteMarch #2b #SingleMarket #challenge #TrumpLies #BuildTheWall #FALSE #Brexit #Yakovenko #brexit #StopArt50Clock #9a #Remain #KremlinAnnex #DEN #MoneyLaundering #NeverAgain #TuftonStreet #EnoughIsEnough #Trade #bbcqt

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