Thread by @JakeMGrumbach

"Why a Green New Deal? Why not a standalone cap & trade or carbon tax?" you may ask.

The 2009-10 cap & trade strategy was that. The committee worked closely with industry, and the plan even had free credits to get buy-in from firms. It was a huge failure.

There's research. /1

The climate groups invited Theda Skocpol to write an "autopsy" of the cap and trade failure. Takeaways:

-Too concerned with broad public opinion, not *organization and intensity*
-Should have provided *dividends* to citizens
-Don't work with GOP

scholars.org/sites/scholars…

/2

I also wrote a paper in Business & Politics about how the fossil fuel industry bargained with policymakers to weaken cap and trade while simultaneously working with outside groups to kill the bill:

cambridge.org/core/journals/…

/3

Recently @leahstokes & @cwarshaw looked at how framing affects the popularity of climate policy. Policies become more popular as they're framed to create jobs and not increasing energy costs--which is a lot of the point of the GND.

nature.com/articles/nener…

/4

There has been some super helpful & constructive criticism of the GND. It should do more on housing/density, for example.

But some of the criticism clearly isn't informed by the failure of 2009-10, and doesn't engage with research on climate politics.

Keep discussing!

/end

Here's a similar argument from @HeerJeet in response to @Noahpinion. As I suggest above, the research tends to side with Jeet. (It's good--Noah is coming up with an alternative plan and is trying to be constructive)

https://twitter.com/heerjeet/status/1093987093104218112?s=21