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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Italy held a regional election in Abruzzo yesterday.

- Centre-right winning with nearly 50% (Lega largest party with 28%)

- M5S below 20% are the election’s big losers

- Centre-left 31.5% (PD 11.5%)

Salvini strengthening his grip on both centre-right coalition and country.
The result is broadly in line with trends in recent national polls. Always difficult to compare local votes with national elections, but this is a useful comparison between yesterday’s election and 2018 national election result in the region:
It should no longer surprise anyone, but what makes the Lega result all the more extraordinary is that when Abruzzo last voted in a regional election, in 2014, Lega didn’t even run
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
“In February, Departments reported being on track for just under 85% of no deal projects but, within that, on track for just over two thirds of the most critical projects.” - no longer a secret: the UK isn’t ready for no-deal gov.uk/government/pub…
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
Britain’s post-Brexit trade conundrum. A short story.

I had a meeting this morning with a Japanese diplomat who said Japan doesn’t want to simply replicate the same terms of its EU FTA with the UK (as reported by the FT here: ft.com/content/5ce60a…).
The diplomat said the EU FTA was a good basis, but Japan wants the FTA with the UK to be “more ambitious.” Asked what he meant by this, and examples, they mentioned the UK liberalising rules and regulations in some areas once it leaves the EU
The diplomat also said the two sides has been exchanging views, but hadn’t yet started negotiations proper.
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
EU27 ambassadors met this afternoon to get a debrief on Juncker-May meeting, as well as meetings with Barclay/Cox, and Corbyn

- EU position is unchanged. Withdrawal agreement cannot be reopened. EU can only reexplain the backstop, and work further on the political declaration
- prime minister May said she wouldn’t extend art. 50, but the feeling is this could be tactics to push MPs to the brink

- EU will not hold a special Brexit EUCO unless it’s clear a deal has support in the Commons. Feeling is that a consensus is not in sight yet
- Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn stressed that he wanted to avoid no-deal, but the feeling is that his priority is an election.

- Work on no-deal preparations & legislation is ramping up.
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Agnese Ortolani
@Agnese_Ortolani
#Italy outlook for 2019: halting growth amid political volatility. We expect the country's unstable politics and deteriorating economic conditions to intensify this year. Our free latest analysis: bit.ly/2MIHfz3, with @p_ceretti
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Ferdinando Giugliano
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Mattarella has just spoken. He confirmed the problem was over the appointment of the finance minister. He said he was open to a ‘political appointee’, not to someone who would sleepwalk Italy out of the euro. He concludes that arguing for ‘Ital-exit’ should be done openly. #Italy
+++ The 5 Star Movement is now reportedly considering an impeachment of Italy’s President Sergio Mattarella.
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
Hello all, as this can be a crucial day for the new (populist) #Italy government I am now going to tweet a short thread on it, focusing especially on the (almost ready) M5S-LEGA agenda. At least 70 billions of additional debt are expected. How will Europe react? THREAD 🇮🇹
1. As I have been personally saying since the first election results (see here ) and despite a broad general skepticism on it in #Italy, a LEGA-M5S government was the only possible, given the circumstances after the vote. So, now we are very close to it.
2. Five Stars Movement (M5S) leader Di Maio and LEGA leader Salvini have been negotiating for days on a coalition contract (like in Germany). There have reportedly agreed on many points (we'll see later). But the big hurdle is: who is going to be the new Prime Minister?
#Italy
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
What is going on in #Italy after March 4th elections and the subsequent political deadlock? A quick and concise update on the thrilling party negatiotions/talks that officially started yesterday. Thread coming up shortly. 🇮🇹
1. Here I am (sorry I had to get some food at the 24h supermarket 😊). Well, the deadlock stays but there are some very interesting news that, at least, keep new elections at bay for now. And, beside the M5S-LEGA populist liaison, there is a new potential alliance at sight
#Italy
2. But let’s go through it. The first thing is that M5S populist and young leader Di Maio has explicitly opened to an alliance either with right-wing LEGA or with centre-left PD (Renzi’s party). “Let’s make a coalition pact like in Germany” Di Maio said.
#Italy
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
Hello all. Sorry for the late hour, but I wanted to give you just some quick updates on #Italy’s political deadlock. As I had hinted here in the past, despite many discarded it in the 1st place, a sort of “populist” collaboration between LEGA and M5S is more likely
I tell you why
1. Today LEGA leader Salvini and M5S leader Di Maio had a phone call. It is the 1st actual, concrete contact between the two after #Italyelection2018, after pretending to ignore each other. It was “a frank and kind call”, they said. But what did they discuss on the phone?
2. Well, according to official statements, they primarily discussed the question of the two Parliaments speakers (House of reps + Senate, it is the first stel after elections), stressing the fact that the matter is “unrelated” to the formation of a potential government
#Italy
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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
Hello all, I will shortly start a live-tweeting on #ItalyElection2018 night. I will try to keep you posted with all the latest news, exit polls, vote projections until late (tomorrow morning shift, ouch)🇮🇹
Meanwhile, here you can find a guide to the vote
1. Turnout at 7 pm estimated at 57%. Not so much for #Italy standards. Not a good news for Renzi, in theory.
#ItalyElection2018
2. The Constitutional referendum turnout at 7 pm had a similar trend. Then (in 2016) the final turnout was 68,48%. If it stays so also today, it would be the lowest turnout in Italy republican history
In fact, it was 75% in 2013, 81% in 2008, 84% in 2006
#ItalyElection2018
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