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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
“The Taoiseach and the British Prime Minister had a good discussion on Brexit and Northern Ireland,” says Irish govt spokesperson. “No proposals were tabled. The Prime Minister referred to her intention to make a statement to the British Parliament tomorrow...
”The two sides agreed to stay in contact. The UK is continuing its discussions with the European Commission.”
Follows bilateral in #Sharm #EU-LAS
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More from @tconnellyRTE see all

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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Worth noting: Page 2 of the EUCO draft conclusions warns there can be "no opening of the WA... Any unilateral commitment, statement or other act should be compatible with the letter and spirit of the WA."
I'm told this is a direct reference to Theresa May's letter to Tusk in which she signals her intention to "bring forward further domestic proposals that confirm my previous commitment to protect our internal market given the concerns expressed about the backstop."
In other words, the European Council draft warns May that any promises to the DUP must not undercut the backstop.
Read 3 tweets
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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Quick thoughts on the idea of Article 62 of the Vienna convention allowing for the termination of the backstop if there is a “fundamental change of circumstances” (as per the advice the ERG want Geoffrey Cox to deliver).
According legal experts, the “fundamental change” has to have been “unforeseen” when the treaty was signed. If Cox is predicting the UK might invoke this, then it’s hardly unforeseen.
A case often cited is the decision by Slovakia & Hungary to use Article 62 to walk away from a 1970s era treaty between Hungary and Czechoslovakia on the operation of a dam on the Danube.
Read 5 tweets
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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Breaking: European Commission says the "differential treatment" of trade on the island of Ireland, in which the UK imposes tariffs on goods coming from Ireland to GB, but not goods going north across the Irish border "raises concerns."
Commission was asked if it would reciprocate the UK plan no to apply tariffs on goods crossing the Irish border in a no deal scenario.
Commission Spokesman: "We take note of the UK's plans for temporary tariffs in the case of no deal. We will carefully analyse the compliance of the UK plan with WTO law and the EU's rights thereunder.
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
Northern Irish businesses are being left in the lurch by #Brexit - what does that mean? /1

@ninusinessinfo, @UlsterBusiness, @NIChamberofCommerce, @FBS_NI @RetailNI @CBI_NI @InvestNI @JPCampbellBiz @NIBusiness @RetailNI @julianoneill @boardroom_ni ⁦ telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/…
Just spent three days on the road talking to NI business - a haulier, an engineering firm, a concrete business, a ship fitters...

What does Westminster #Brexit impasse mean when denominated in real world currency? /2
It means that haulage company may decide to invest heavily in the Republic to continue to serve its customers - which means some of their 200 employees in the North are likely to lose their jobs. They will also pay more of their taxes in Dublin, not to the Exchequer in London./3
Read 13 tweets
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Stephen Murphy
@SMurphyTV
Irish Deputy PM @simoncoveney, with German Foreign Minister @HeikoMaas, says the “time for wishful thinking is over” to avoid a no-deal #Brexit. “There is no alternative 585-page agreement waiting to be dusted off”
Coveney: "These are fateful days and weeks in British politics. I remain convinced that there is a majority in the UK parliament which will do all it can to avert a disastrous crash-out #Brexit." Adds the deal is "fundamentally a good one"
Coveney says EU can issue "additional clarifications", but cannot reopen the Withdrawal Agreement itself
Read 7 tweets
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Ryan Heath
@PoliticoRyan
#Brexit #thread
1/ If you don’t follow Brexit every day, here’s some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis
2/ The rest of the world is left listening to Britain’s therapy session as they drone on about their ex-spouse, unable to see, admit or address their own flaws.
3/ The promise of Brexit was that it would make Britain feel big again. “Britain is special,” the Brexiteers assured British voters, who cast their ballots accordingly. But Brexit has proven that for the first time in modern history, Britain is small.
Read 22 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
Brexit is the backstop; the backstop is #Brexit.

After 3 days in Belfast, talking to all sides, here's what I've learned - on the business and the politics of this deal. And its viability.

1/Thread
First the business/technical aspects of how a backstop would work.

I talked to business lobby groups, Stephen Kelly from @ManufacturingNI fresh back from talks with Barnier. And bosses of big companies.

The are surprisingly sanguine. /2

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
@ManufacturingNI If the backstop emerges as the British want (and that is still an 'if') it would look as follows:

- all-UK in a temporary customs Union
- Northern Ireland only in Single Market for goods, via devolution
- no checks GB-NI
- 'de-dramatised checks on regs NI-GB

/3
Read 26 tweets
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Nicolai von Ondarza
@NvOndarza
"#Brexit and EU agencies", our extensive look into third country relationships of the 36 EU agencies and how the UK might fit in.

swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/cont…

Albeit largely technical, agencies will have huge implications on Brexit.

Five points stand out in particular:
First, Agencies matter. Like the customs union, they are a technical aspect of the EU, that works and was thus hardly discussed in the UK before #Brexit.
But they are important for single market, but also justice and home affairs.

UK gov thus has already asked to continue participation in selected agencies, in particular in sectors important to the UK economy, like aviation, chemicals or pharma.
Read 10 tweets
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Paul Chaplin #FBPE 🇪🇺
@CottlestonPie
I'm currently at this #Brexit conference in Copenhagen, where the British ambassador and several #DExEU officials will be on panels with representatives of Danish trade and security. It'll be very interesting to see what's said, especially in light of May's recent Munich speech.
And now that I'm not desperately trying to keep up with livetweeting it, I shall turn my mess of self-retweets into a proper thread. #Brexit #BrexitDK
acknowledges #Brexit will have challenges; emphasises no naïveté regarding "land of milk and honey". Refreshing sense of pragmatism; we'll see how #DExEU and DK reps present it.

#BrexitDK
Read 55 tweets

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