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Holger Hestermeyer
@hhesterm
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Actually no. Every election changing the government does that.
And you might say this is just snark, as the referendum was a vote for an issue, elections are not. But that misses the point of your own work.
Part of the things you mention that people allegedly wanted by voting for Brexit (more power to non-London areas of the UK) actually are supported by EU membership.
So the referendum, like any election, threw together a number of issues to form one vote. Some EU related, some not. Quite like a normal election.
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Holger Hestermeyer
@hhesterm
We are not even trying to be logically coherent any more, are we? A methodologically ridiculous article.
1) Again with the stupid growth rate comparisons. Anyone chosing 10% growth over 0.5% growth without asking “so what amount are we talking about” is an idiot.
2) Dataset. So you compare data starting 1998 and say “the Customs Union does not deliver”. When was the Customs Union established? In 1968. So any Customs Union boost was long before 1998.
Read 5 tweets
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Holger Hestermeyer
@hhesterm
The most important treaty relationship in the rollover so far: UK-Switzerland. Some quick thoughts, also on the Swiss-EU relationship, which is poorly understood (thread)
First off: relevant links. The treaty text, parliamentary report and explanatory memorandum can be found here gov.uk/government/col…
The treaty is a short form agreement. It incorporates EU treaties by reference and changes them, so it’s easy to see continuity and lack thereof. Links to the incorporated EU treaties (the first linked EU text is wrong, the rest seem ok) gov.uk/government/col…
Read 16 tweets
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Holger Hestermeyer
@hhesterm
Some reflections on the supposed slashing of tariffs come Brexit day, the economy and democracy (thread)
Brexit is now less than 24 days away. Nobody knows what Brexit that will be. But no deal is a strong contender. What policies will be implemented on that day?
Quit possibly a huge tariff cut. I say quite possibly, because all we have is leaks. No UK manufacturer can currently say what its position vis-a-vis Chinese competition will be 30 days down the road.
Read 7 tweets

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