(1) Cohen met Mueller's team—7 times—for many hours.
(2) Based on cooperation deal, Mueller believes Cohen now.
(3) Cohen says Stone was Trump-WikiLeaks intermediary.
(4) Mueller is charging Stone with crimes.
(5) Russia probe far from over.
(7) Mueller's charging of Stone gives him a chance to squeeze Stone to talk.
(8) If Stone admits to being Trump-WikiLeaks intermediary, it's collusion.
(10) Media statements that Cohen "threw cold water" on collusion are therefore 180 degrees from the truth.
(Conclusion) Media statements that probe is almost over are also wrong.