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Jill Rutter
@jillongovt
, 11 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
There'll be lots of talk about Customs Unions in the Suncay shows this morning #ridge #marr... so what do you need to know.. here's your handy @instituteforgov guide
First - the essential @awstojanovic guide to five things you need to know about a customs union instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/five-thin…
key is to remember it doesn't solve the Irish border.. you need to deal with Single Market as well for that...here's our guide to "frictionless trade" - with some fun graphics on integrated supply chains instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/f…
and a reminder of the potential costs of leaving the EU customs union instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/i…
we said in February 2017 that the Govt should show its workings on the pluses and minuses of leaving a customs union instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/should-uk…
MPs should have demanded assessments of the pros and cons before letting the govt trigger Article 50.
so how big a benefit is the vaunted independent trade policy. According to Govt economists not much.. they assumed the UK cd sign FTAs with 15 major economies and the EU did not - and that still only added 0.2-0.3% to GDP in 15 years instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/governmen…
and that assumes we can agree what that independent trade policy looks like.. The US are laying down their terms - and many Ministers and MPs don't like the look..instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/chickens-… #chlorinatedchickens
and to end up - unless "alternative arrangements" work, the PM has pretty much committed us to be in a customs union with the EU through the Irish backstop instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/no-easy-e…
and if Labour were honest they would admit that the PM's "deal" is as close as they can get to a legal commitment to a permanent customs union instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/labour-al…
its a bit hard to conclude other than that the country is about to tear itself apart over a muddle of semantics (permanent/non-permanent) which would give us a freedom Ministers may find it hard to use, which has little economic impact anway. ENDS
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More from @jillongovt see all

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Jill Rutter
@jillongovt
Government and Parliament is not covering itself in glory at the moment.,... can kicking; game playing; ducking the real issue.. and refusing to confront reality.
Totally depressing when outside people are having to make critical decisions to spend/waste money on no deal plans...
people with no idea how their plans/ livelihoods will be affected. Unable to make plans... . most of the benefits of negotiating a transition thrown away..
Read 4 tweets
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Jill Rutter
@jillongovt
Fantastic evening @instituteforgov watching part two of @BBCTwo Inside Europe series on the eurozone crisis = and discussing with our excellent panel. Watch it on Monday
@instituteforgov @BBCTwo Big take-outs.. when France and Germany agree, they get their way...
@instituteforgov @BBCTwo if you are in the weaker position, running down the clock for the one minute to midnight deal may mean a worse outcome than the one you were offered earlier...
Read 5 tweets
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Jill Rutter
@jillongovt
my suggestion to help the PM - EU agrees to set up a working group of technical experts as soon as WA passed to investigate and make recommendations on "technological and facilitative arrangements"
can include any experts nominated by the UK (so all the ERG's favourite experts) and reps from HMRC and Defra and Irish authorities + EU experts.
set a deadline to report by October 2019 so can be fed into the discussions on the long-run future relationship... and have it chaired by a neutral. Both sides agree to consider conclusions carefully as part of "best endeavours"
Read 4 tweets

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Holger Hestermeyer
@hhesterm
More evidence that topics like Customs Union and single market are poorly understood by politicians (thread)
1) of course Ireland doesn’t get to determine the customs policy of a Cu with the EU, the EU does.
2) and you can have a CU without the single market. You have to follow Single market rules if you want to be in the SM, CU rules if you want a CU
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Dr Anna Jerzewska
@AnnaJerzewska
Since the CU option lost #indicativevotes by the smallest margin, a short one on customs unions and borders including the NI border /1
CUs don’t remove the need for customs formalities. They can facilitate and streamline but not necessarily. This is normal as in order to use preferential tariffs under an FTA or CU you normally need to jump through more hoops than when paying full rates. /2
You need to show you’re eligible for these “discounts”. Under CU you need to demonstrate that the goods have either been produced/manufactured in the CU or have been customs cleared (duty paid) /3
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Adam Wagner
@AdamWagner1
Arghhh! Jeremy Corbyn just said on #Marr that the European Court of Human Rights is "in part an EU institution". It isn't! It's a totally separate institution, arising from a separate treaty which well pre-dates the EU and would remain in place whatever version of Brexit
This really is very basic @jeremycorbyn - the European Court of Human Rights isn't part of the EU. Here's a handy explainer from @rights_info on the topic but you really should know this! rightsinfo.org/whats-differen…
@jeremycorbyn @rights_info Here's a helpful infographic also from @rights_info which shows the history of the European Court of Human Rights which was established in 1959 (well before the European Union) rightsinfo.org/infographics/h…
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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
140+ factual, fully-sourced examples of the impact Brexit is already having on the UK. Jobs going, investment drying up, companies moving assets to the EU, or redomiciling. And all happening as Government burns through £billions chasing a no deal Brexit.
#ridge #marr
The Government has spent £4.2 billion pounds on Brexit preparations (£2.2 billion in previous Budgets, plus an additional £2 billion in the most recent Budget.) 1/143
gov.uk/government/new…
Barden Corporation is closing down its Plymouth factory after 51 years, putting 400 jobs at risk, as its parent company Schaeffler shifts production to various sites outside the UK due to Brexit. 2/143
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Dr Anna Jerzewska
@AnnaJerzewska
1/ Another customs thread. This time on #customs formalities and #Backstop . Backstop envisages a #customsunion with simplifications. It mentions that a movement certificate, A.UK, will be required. No mention of customs declarations.
2/ Movement certificate demonstrates that goods are eligible for trade under a customs union. Is certified by e.g. a Chamber of Commerce. Declarations do more than that. They are entered into the national customs system and enable customs authorities to collect customs data.
3/ Much more info on a declaration than on a movement cert. Some of the most important fields include commodity code, value of goods, country of origin and customs procedure. Would imagine the UK would still like to collect this data for various reasons even under backstop.
Read 9 tweets
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Femi
@Femi_Sorry
Theresa Villiers should not be allowed on TV to discuss Brexit after saying:

"There is no reason why we have to change our border arrangements in the event of a Brexit, because they've been broadly consistent in the 100 years since the creation of Ireland as a separate state."
Today on #Ridge, Theresa Villiers argued in favour of leaving with No Deal and trading on WTO terms, even though the WTO has already confirmed (on #Marr) that that would break the Good Friday Agreement.
Can more people start calling out Theresa Villiers please?
She was the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland. She can't be allowed to keep saying absolute rubbish on the topic! #Ridge
Read 3 tweets

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