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Events during Wednesday's 3rd Brexit indicative vote, if we even get that far, can play out one of two ways:
- A real compromise and ceasefire between PV supporters and soft Brexit supporters produces an actual majority. This requires no more games, fudge, waiting, subterfuge
OR
- A real compromise and ceasefire between PV supporters and soft Brexit supporters produces an actual majority. This requires no more games, fudge, waiting, subterfuge
OR
- The biggest opportunity we ever had to avoid a hard or no deal Brexit is utterly squandered by MPs thinking "there's always next time". Super dangerous stance. Highly likely Wednesday is *it* as far as Parliament's tolerance for the indicative vote process goes.
I hate saying it so much it's painful to type, but I think the dream of stopping Brexit entirely is dead. I believe that if it comes down to revoke or no-deal, Theresa May will choose no-deal to keep (more of) her party together. So everything should be seen through that prism.
That doesn't mean I'll stop fighting. But I am not going to automatically rubbish efforts to genuinely soften Brexit (Common Market 2.0) just because it makes things worse than now. That's not the only metric in play. It would make things better than TM's Brexit or no-deal.
And if they could be incorporated into the process in some way to legally constrain the next Prime Minister, then so much the better. Because it's almost certainly going to be a Brexiter, so they're going to push for hard Brexit.
