"The revolution has only just begun".
الثورة بدت يا دوب
#SudanUprising
The same applies to the Arab Spring. 2011 was year #1 in a 20 year transition. If this was a movie, you've only seen the first half hour.
Across the Arab speaking region, simultaneously:
- Popular uprisings
- Civil wars
- Proxy wars
- Authoritarian hysteria
- Terrorism
- Militias
- "Reforms" at the precipice
- Counter revolution
- Social contract breakage
- Economic unsustainability
- Stiff resistance & resilience
And this - this is exactly what a democratic transition looks like.
Real transitions from the depth of tyranny to democracy are never clean and orderly affairs. This is what they look like.
Yes, I've been saying this since 2012/2013. I said it again in 2014, after the Saudi/UAE-led counter revolution seemed to have turned the tide.
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