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7 tweets,
2 min read
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1. A thread on the administration's consideration of terminating or suspending waivers for civilian nuclear work at Iran's Fordow, Arak, & Bushehr sites. In short: people are blowing this way out of proportion as far as killing the deal.
2. Fordow is now revealed with certainty to have been a military enrichment facility designed to produce highly enriched uranium for nuclear weapons. Iran should be required to shut it down. isis-online.org/isis-reports/d…
3. If the JCPOA member states are worried about stable isotope separation, Iran should move it to Natanz. This is a small project and can easily be moved.
4. The administration should not waive on Arak work given the threats made by AEOI chief Salehi about having prepped to quickly circumvent the JCPOA restrictions. That issue needs to be investigated by the IAEA before anymore waivers: isis-online.org/isis-reports/d…
5. As the article linked above indicates, Arak work by China has slowed, not only due to threats of sanctions, but because IRAN has tried changing the reorientation parameters laid out in the JCPOA for Arak's conversion.
6. Bushehr will most certainly be waived, and has always been exempt from UNSC resolutions as an electricity producing facility.
7. The bottom line is Iran isn't going to leave the JCPOA over these waivers. It has too much to lose. Instead, the international community should be insisting that the IAEA address these Fordow & Arak issues rather than proceeding full ahead with civilian nuclear cooperation.
