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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Is there anyone in the Tory party who isn't running for the leadership?
Did a list the other day trying to work out which way they were likely to break on Brexit if they were leader. Most would end up in same position as May: Unwilling to go softer, unable to do no-deal, stuck in same position.
Only Rory Stewart and Amber Rudd would go for Soft Brexit I think, and even then very uncertain.
And then at the end of the list was Michael Gove, who I couldn't place at all. He's the one that could go any way at all: Soft Brexit, the deal, no-deal.
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Grayling's disastrous probation privatisation programme is finally reversed. Service being taken back into public ownership politics.co.uk/blogs/2019/05/…
It's easy to turn this into another just-how-shit -is-Chris-Grayling story. But we know the answer to that. He is epically, unimaginably shit, on a colossal scale. We knew that ages ago.
The bigger question is: Can we cure ourselves of this ideological zeal for privatisation that demands it even when the minister cannot articulate what the contract is?
Read 6 tweets
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Like estate agents selling their property, you can see the skull of a pundit by when they booked their holiday. I booked mine for June 7th and there is now a very real possibility that I will have to follow a Brexit vote/collapse of the goverment from a beach.
I figured two weeks after European elections would give time for the fuss to die down. My mistake was not realising May might table something in that period for the same reason.
Um. Skill. You can almost never see a pundit's skull, unless something has gone terribly wrong.
Read 3 tweets
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
For people asking: The reason May can bring her deal again despite Bercow's rule is that this time she is bringing forward the legislation, which hasn't been done before.
Previous attempts were just motions - straight yes-or-no to a basic question. This will be a bill enacting the deal.
Downside of course is that you have to publish the bill, which is when all the Brexiters will lose their shit.
Read 3 tweets

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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU has almost given up trying to understand what’s going on in UK.
Dutch PM Rutte compares Theresa May to Monty Python knight whose limbs get cut off in a duel but insists the fight was a draw. Elsewhere in EU, mood is darker esp with the prospect of a lengthy #Brexit delay 1
With UK politics mired in confusion, only thing EU can control this week is choreography at EU leaders’ summit, starting Thurs. Donald Tusk, EU Council president is visiting capitals to try to co-ordinate single EU response if/when Theresa May asks for article 50 extension 2
Today Tusk is in Berlin and Paris – the EU superpowers. But when it comes to delaying Brexit, any one of the EU’s 27 leaders has a veto. The decision must be unanimous 3
Read 16 tweets
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James Randerson
@james_randerson
OK, I'm going to (probably foolishly) have a punt at gaming out what happens in Brexit in the next few weeks. I will certainly be wrong – there are just too many variables to be completely right – but I’d like to test my thinking /thread
I feel emboldened by mince pies and ahem, good cheer, so I’d welcome your thoughts on what seems off key here — and just to be clear, I’m not advocating this sequence of events, I’m just trying to work out what might happen
So Theresa May brings her Brexit deal for a vote the week of 14 January as she has promised (surely she wouldn’t attempt to delay again). She loses, prompting calls for her to resign, for a renegotiation and for a people’s vote.
Read 16 tweets
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Ryan Heath
@PoliticoRyan
#Brexit #thread
1/ If you don’t follow Brexit every day, here’s some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis
2/ The rest of the world is left listening to Britain’s therapy session as they drone on about their ex-spouse, unable to see, admit or address their own flaws.
3/ The promise of Brexit was that it would make Britain feel big again. “Britain is special,” the Brexiteers assured British voters, who cast their ballots accordingly. But Brexit has proven that for the first time in modern history, Britain is small.
Read 22 tweets
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BRITISH BOXERS
@GrandpaJem
Literally sat here trying to work out how I’ll get my components after March so we can manufacture goods in Britain. There’s absolutely nothing from central government. Nothing. No plan, no structure. Zilch. People haven’t got a fucking clue what they’ve voted for and I’m livid.
What an utter waste of my time. This wasn’t my battle. My battle was to provide as many British jobs as possible whilst also providing an income for my family and then a return for shareholders. There’s nothing to plan with. Not even a crumb.
We’re at trade shows in Jan & Feb where I’m paying for a stand. I’m selling goods which I’m designing and costing now which will be deliverable into stores next September. How do I cost my goods? How can I promise delivery. What an absolute utter shambles #brexit is.. Fuming.
Read 5 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. Normally it's me doing the preaching but I have some concerns about post-Brexit defence and defence twitter seems to exist in a parallel universe where the word #Brexit is seldom mentioned.
2. If we end up leaving the EU without a deal then there will be major defence cuts. Why? Because government will prioritise welfare over defence every time. So what gets cut?
3. Politically we are majorly invested in the QE carrier programme and we have a lot of sunk costs in the carriers and F35. The reason we have two QE carriers is that the purchasing decision was "If you need one then you need two" - which means we won't be mothballing one of them
Read 10 tweets
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Jane. Local. BSTS 🏳️‍🌈
@localnotail
At @CityREDI's #BrexitRegionalImpact workshop to "discuss the likely impact of Brexit on the West Midlands economy & agree on the urgent actions that need to be taken in the crucial months ahead"

Will business take a stand for #PeoplesVote or roll over?

birmingham.ac.uk/schools/busine…
It's hard to see how Brexit can be seen as anything but a disaster for the West Midlands, but I will listen to everyone and report back.
#BrexitRegionalImpact
#SaveBrum
What's really special about the CityREDI Brexit Impact studies is that they don't just cover the UK but also the rest of the EU.
BrexitImpact on the EU isn't as bad as on the UK but it's still bad. Hard to imagine maintaining good relations after this harm.
#BrexitRegionalImpact
Read 40 tweets

Trending hashtags

#TransnationalLists #Brexit #BRINO #BrexitDeal #schizophrenia #theplanallalong #NHS #Corbyn #lextasy #PeoplesVote #PCPEU #lexiternow #leavernow #rashes #brextasy #Leave #Milne #JC4PM2019 #FinalSay #SaveBrum #LabourConference2018 #SOS #NoPVYesGE #postofficetrial #softbrexit
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