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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
#EP2019 — Final Netherlands exit poll:

PvdA (Labour) 5 seats
VVD (liberals) 4
CDA (Christian Democrats) 4
GL (GreenLeft) 3
FvD (far-right nationalists) 3
D66 (liberals) 2
CU-SGP (conservatives) 2
PVV (Wilders) 1
SP (socialist party) 1

nos.nl/artikel/228601…
If Netherlands results on Sunday confirm the exit poll:

- big surprising win for centre-left Labour
- solid result for liberal PM Rutte's party
- far-right nationalists will have made a net gain of 0 (zero) seats.
#EP2019 - Netherlands turnout: 41%, highest since 1989. In 2014, turnout was 37.3% nos.nl/l/2286019
fwiw the Netherlands exit poll in 2014 was relatively accurate with the result for each party +/- one seat compared to the exit poll. #EP2019
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
NEW: I have spent a bit of time working to answer a simple, but important, question: was Boris Johnson a good foreign secretary?

I have spoken to senior US, European and UK diplomats & officials who all worked and dealt with Johnson directly buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
The diplomats and officials paint a picture of a foreign secretary who wasn't just funny or prone to innocent gaffes — but was at times "woefully unprepared" for one of the top jobs in British politics
This tale begins with a “MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN” Trump campaign cap, and a dinner in Mayfair, London, between Johnson and US secretary of state John Kerry. It stretches from bathrooms in Paris to high-level meetings about the war in Yemen buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
Read 5 tweets
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
A few thoughts on #EP2019 now that most of the results are in.

The key words are fragmentation and polarisation.

1) if you compare 2019 & 2014 results, the main centre-right and centre-left blocs have lost seats. Liberals, greens, and far-right nationalists have made gains
2) Far-right nationalists as a whole are on similar levels to 2014 & recent elections. Gains are driven by a small number of parties. In several countries support has fallen. Le Pen's first place is mostly symbolic — she did better in 2014.
3) Far-right nationalism isn't going away, it remains a significant force, but it is not a 2019 trend nor is it surging and constantly advancing as much of the narrative and framing of European elections suggests
Read 11 tweets
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
#EP2019 — Germany ZDF projection:

CDU/CSU 27.5%
GRN 20.5%
SPD 15.5%
AfD 10.5%
FDP 5.5%
Linke 5.5%

zdf.de/nachrichten/he…
#EP2019 — Germany ARD projection:

CDU/CSU 28%
GRN 22%
SPD 15.5%
AfD 10.5%
FDP 5.5%
Linke 5.5%

tagesschau.de/inland/europaw…
#EP2019 — Germany — ZDF projection in seats:

CDU/CSU 27
GRN 20
SPD 15
AfD 11
FDP 6
Linke 6
Others 11

zdf.de/nachrichten/he…
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