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Mohal Joshi
@MohalJoshi
, 5 tweets, 5 min read Read on Twitter
2019 Elections: With all the votes finally tallied up BJP is at 37.4% vote share % (+6.1% vs 2014) while INC is at 19.5% (unchanged vs 2014).
@CrowdWisdom360 @politicalbaaba @c_aashish @ask0704
@CrowdWisdom360 @politicalbaaba @c_aashish @ask0704 NDA is at 44.8% vote share % which will make it the 4th largest (pre-poll alliance) vote share ever (only higher ones are 1977 51.9%, 1984 48.1% & 1957 47.78%)
@CrowdWisdom360 @politicalbaaba @c_aashish @ask0704 The 6% increase in vote share for NDA is the highest ever jump for an incumbent PM in history of India (even higher than the jump for Nehru, Indira, ABV & MMS)
@CrowdWisdom360 @politicalbaaba @c_aashish @ask0704 special thanks for @vivekpm for helping to pull all the data from the ECI website.
@CrowdWisdom360 @politicalbaaba @c_aashish @ask0704 At 44.8% this is the 2nd highest vote share % for an incumbent PM (only the 1957 at 47.8% was higher)
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More from @MohalJoshi see all

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Mohal Joshi
@MohalJoshi
1/n) Saw 2 excellent movies: Uri and The Accidental PM.
@veggiediplomat @HarithaPusarla
@ask0704 @Aryanwarlord
@KushalSinha001 @VinodDX9

Dont go by the negative reviews in the media which could be possibly influenced by their ideological differences.
2/n) Uri is one of the best action movies to be made in Bollywood. It does potray events mostly well albeit with some "arstistic liberty" cases where some fiction was added for entertainment value especialy towards the end.
3/n) While it might not have Zero Dark Thirty type production value it has good VFX and sound. For e.g. one can hear different sounds of the assault rifles used by terrorists (harsh and loud noise of AK rifles) vs those used by Indian Para SF.
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

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Tommy John Mathew
@CristianoModi
Analysing BJP Kerala’s vote share % from 2014 to 2019. Which LS seat has BJP grown big & regressed? A thread.

Regressed ⬇️
1) Trivandrum 32.4% to 31.2%
2) Alathur 9.4% to 8.8%
3) Wayanad 8.83% to 7.23%
4) Vadakkara 7.96% to 7.52%
5) Kasargod 17.72% to 16%

1/6
Massive progress ⬆️
1) Attingal 10.5% to 24.6%
2) Pattanamthitta 15.9% to 29%
3) Alapuzha 4.3% to 17.2%
4) Kottayam 5.3% to 17%
5) Thrissur 11.1% to 29%

Atleast 10% increment

2/6
Progress ⬆️
1) Kollam 6.7% to 10.6%
2) Mavelikkara 9% to 13.7%
3) Chalakudy 10.5% to 15.5%
4) Palakkad 15.9% to 21.26%

Mediocre ↔️
1) Idukki 6.1% to 8.5%
2) Ernakulam 11.6% to 14.2%
3) Ponnani 8.6% to 10.8%
4) Kozhikode 12.2% to 15%
5) MLPRM 7.5% to 7.9%
6) Kannur 5.4% to 6%
Read 12 tweets
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Karthik Shashidhar
@karthiks
A whopping 332 out of 542 constituencies in the just-concluded General Elections saw a two-way contest. Another 184 saw three-way contests.

In contrast, in the 2014 elections only 169 two-way contests, 278 three-cornered contests and 90 four-cornered contests
How do you determine the number of corners of a contest? It is using a formula called ENPV (Effective number of parties - votes. Thanks @vdehejia ). It is the inverse of the sum of squares of the vote shares of each candidate in each constituency (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effective…)
Once you calculate this for each constituency, you round the number (for the sake of convenience), and you get the effective number of parties.

For example, if two parties get exaclty 50% vote each, then ENPV = 1/(0.5^2 + 0.5^2) = 2.
Read 13 tweets
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Outswinger
@Outswinger12
#DMKAlliance win in #TamiNadu is staggering on many accounts. Out of 38 seats went for polls #DMK and alliance partners won 37 seats. A look at winning margins
5 to 6 Lakh = 2 seats
4 to 5 Lakh = 4 seats
3 to 4 L= 8 seats
2 to 3 L= 9 seats
1 to 2 L= 11 seats
0 to 1 L = 3 seats
#TamilNadu Biggest victory margin in seats where #DMK was in contest against #PMK. #Sriperumbudur and #Dindugal.... DMK won both seats by a margin of more than 5 lakh votes. Interestingly in both seats PMK saved their deposits... #TNRejectsBJP #ElectionResults2019
#TamilNadu: 4 seats were won by #DMKAlliance by a margin of 4 to 5 lakh votes.
#ChennaiNorth - #DMK @DrKalanidhiV defeated #DMDK
#Karur - #Congress @jothims def. #ADMK
#Perambalur - #DMK @Paarivendharijk def. #ADMK
#Tiruchirappalli - #Congress @ThiruArasarINC def. #DMDK
Read 23 tweets
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Śrīkānta Kṛṣṇamācārya
@shrikanth_krish
Uttar Pradesh, the 8th largest country in the world, clearly decided the course of the 2019 elections

A province where Modi's BJP won 60 seats despite having a united opposition of SP and BSP arrayed against him!

A wonder of a result

Let's study this more closely
First the basics - let's look at the seat tally

The BJP seat tally fell by just 11, despite the consolidation of the two largest opposition parties

Interestingly while BSP went up from 0 to 10, SP stayed put at 5, the same as in 2014 when it went alone
Then let's move to vote share - which tell us the bigger story

A 7% jump for the BJP.

And a 5% drop for SP + BSP relative to 2014
Read 21 tweets
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Shrikanth Krishnamachary
@shrikanth_krish
India became a republic in 1950. And held its first parliamentary elections in 1952. What was so momentous about this event was that a country largely illiterate and unused to democratic process transitioned to universal adult suffrage in a manner unlike any other country.
Close to 80% of the Adult population in India was illiterate at the time of the first general election. And yet every Indian was given the right to vote across the country. A very very radical transition
This is in sharp contrast to say a country like UK, that was NOT a democracy throughout the 16th/17th / 18th centuries - when it had its great Industrial Revolution and managed to lift millions above mere subsistence living for the first time in human history
Read 57 tweets
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Liam Engle
@Liam_Engle
Il est urgent que les #Césars en viennent à un système de nominations par branches et je vais expliquer pourquoi. #Cesar2018 #Cesars2018
Aux Oscars, chaque branche nomine sa propre catégorie. Les costumiers votent et désignent les 5 nommés au Meilleurs Costumes.
Puis TOUT LE MONDE vote dans chaque catégorie et on obtient les gagnants.
Aux Césars, TOUT LE MONDE désigne les nominations dans chaque catégorie.
Les costumiers donnent leur avis sur les acteurs, les attachés de presse sur les décors, les acteurs sur le son...
Read 10 tweets

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