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You go your way, I'll go mine. This is what's going to happen:
We suppose Boris Johnson wins the Tory leadership.
The best he can hope for is a majority of 4, although by then it might be 3.
And that's with the DUP
We suppose Boris Johnson wins the Tory leadership.
The best he can hope for is a majority of 4, although by then it might be 3.
And that's with the DUP
Parliament has already shown willing to legislate in spite of government.
A prime minister with no majority, who has neither won nor even fought a general election, will not be allowed to execute such a drastic policy.
A prime minister with no majority, who has neither won nor even fought a general election, will not be allowed to execute such a drastic policy.
It would only need two Tory MPs - and you can even name the two - and the government would fall.
And what you also know is that this is the only job Boris Johnson ever wanted. he doesn't want to go down to a vote of no confidence before he's even unpacked his socks.
And what you also know is that this is the only job Boris Johnson ever wanted. he doesn't want to go down to a vote of no confidence before he's even unpacked his socks.
These are constraints of reality. The Tories have no majority, and they have no mandate and no authority for either of the only two policies available - no deal or no Brexit.
There's no majority for either, and the new government will collapse if it tries
There's no majority for either, and the new government will collapse if it tries
We can't leave Europe until October 31st. And before that time the new prime minister has to present a Queen's speech.
Which if it meets the disapproval of parliament will be amended to parliament's taste.
Which if it meets the disapproval of parliament will be amended to parliament's taste.
This is where the nonsense about prorogue parliament came from.
Like an aeroplane. It is impossible for this country to reach October 31st without the intervention of parliamentary process.
Like an aeroplane. It is impossible for this country to reach October 31st without the intervention of parliamentary process.
The only to stop parliamentary process would be to physically shut parliament down.
When people realise that, they start overheating themselves about prorogue.
When people realise that, they start overheating themselves about prorogue.
Christ alive, why people can't process the easiest and simplest possibility out of this mess - that we just won't leave Europe - I can only think is some sort of locked-in Boomer syndrome.
