, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
1/ Got been asked if Korean Autocallables is in top-5 issues when discussing vol, what would the other four be.
First and foremost, I would say you have to have your investing environment right, so here goes, by no particular order:
2/ Correlations between index constituents. $ICJ $JCJ. To make the point: First day in history when something like all but two shares in $SPX closed down, was Feb 5, 2018. Another two such days followed in December of same year.
3/ Volatility remains depressed by central bank policies. This is the elephant in the room. Watch $Fed Total Assets like a hawk.
4/ Volatility is mean-reverting. Avoid buying breakouts, except when taking a stop loss. Hold strategic cash reserves to sell vol at spikes. You are printing substantial negative MtM at those times so this takes gigantic discipline not to miss on your big P/L recovery opportunity
5/ Current favorite trades include shorting $SPX $gamma to buy $EURUSD gamma; buy long-term commodity vol, $delta neutral, to earn the carry; and same for US interest rates as long-term vol rolls up positively.
6/ Top idea: Buy very long term EuroStoxx $FESX zero-cost collars. High dividends + low interest rates make for surprisingly cheap further upside play; you hold ~60%-65% delta, so volatile MtM, but you lose money only if European stock lower by >35% in 5yrs.
7/ This by no way means that if you follow correlations, Korean AC's and Fed policy you are surely going to make tons of money trading $VIX. It rather means that if you **do not** follow these you are surely going to lose tons of money trading the VIX.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Yannis Couletsis
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!