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10-Year Forecasts for Major Asset Classes

Let's explore 10-year annualized forecasts for major asset classes using Vanguard's Capital Markets Model (VCMM).

A thread 🧵
#investing #stockmarket
While there’s no way of predicting the future, quantitative models can help us come up with a general idea of how different asset classes may perform in the future.

One example is Vanguard’s Capital Markets Model (VCMM Image
2/ Equity Returns: Vanguard predicts international equities to outperform U.S. equities in the next decade. Valuation-based expansion in U.S. equities may lead to lower returns, while international equities offer favorable valuations and higher dividend payouts.
Read 7 tweets
🚨 GPT-4 has outperformed human entrepreneurs in a pitch competition! Investors and business owners found GPT-4 generated pitch decks to be more compelling, convincing, and of higher quality than those created by humans. #GPT4 #pitchcompetition

A quick recap👇 Image
🤖🤯 This game-changing solution not only saves time in creating a pitch deck but also has the potential to be a highly lucrative option. Entrepreneurs should consider using GPT-4 to increase their chances of securing funding and impressing investors. #AI #investing #funding
💡The implications are clear: if you want to captivate investors, you should reconsider writing your own pitch decks. GPT-4 has unveiled a groundbreaking opportunity to disrupt the traditional approach to securing funding. #Pitching #Investment
Read 10 tweets
SEBI bars IIFL Securities from onboarding clients for 2 years due to the misappropriation of funds

A thread #sebi #investing #iifl #IIFLSecurities #redflag #corporategovernance
During inspections, it came to light that out of the 45 client bank accounts examined, a staggering 26 were not titled as "client accounts." This despite a prior warning from BSE.

Violated provisions of the SEBI 1993 Circular
The inspection team discovered a troubling trend. Funds were regularly transferred from client bank accounts and clients' dividend accounts to IIFL's Pool/Control Accounts. These accounts, managed and controlled by IIFL, functioned as the company's own bank account. Image
Read 7 tweets
Finally Completed this Amazing First Dedicated Book on Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s Stock market Wisdom, insights , success stories, failures & also about his life by
@ActusDei
@aditya_kondawar
@apri_sharma

A thread 🧵 on
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's Mantras to Pick Stocks , Image
There are the aspects which, according to Jhunjhunwala, should be followed to pick multi-bagger stocks:

1) Keep an open mind

Be receptive to what the world is showing you. By 'keep an open mind',
RJ means that one has to observe their surroundings. Some of the great stock ideas come when you least expect it. Your observation about how everyone is using a certain technology, product or service & which listed player is behind it can help you land great stock op-portunities.
Read 12 tweets
Investing and Wealth Creation:
📚 When it comes to investing, education is key. Take the time to research and analyze before making any investment decisions. Knowledge and understanding of the market can greatly increase your chances of success. #Investing #Education
🎲 Investing should not be treated as gambling. It requires careful planning, patience, and a long-term perspective. The potential gains you can see over time are exciting, but they come with disciplined and informed decision-making. #InvestingStrategy #Patience
📈 MRF, a leading Indian tire manufacturing company, has delivered an exceptional return over the past 23 years. Starting from Rs. 1200, the stock price has soared to Rs. 1,00,000, providing investors with nearly 100 times their initial investment. #Investment #MRF
Read 5 tweets
#learning
Face value of a share :
1/5: 📚 The face value of a share is the initial value assigned to a stock when it is issued. It represents the legal capital of the company and is typically a small fixed amount, such as rs 2 or rs 10 per share. #Finance #Stocks

#facevalue
2/5: 💼 The face value serves as a legal requirement and is used in accounting records to determine the company's capital structure and shareholder equity. It helps calculate the value per share and ownership percentages. #Accounting #Investing
3/5: ⚖️ While face value is important for legal and regulatory considerations, it does not directly impact the market value of a share. Market value is determined by factors like supply and demand, company performance, and investor sentiment. #MarketValue #Investment
Read 5 tweets
SEBI has come out with EOP guidelines which hugely impacts how Direct Plans are currently being sold in the country. Read on for finer details:

1) All online platforms to classify themselves as EOP1 or EOP2 which means an Execution-Only Platform

#mutualfunds #directplans #SEBI
2) Background - Most of the online platforms offering Direct Plans operate under the SEBI RIA (advisory) regulations but owing to the size & scale of business they act as mere facilitators of Direct Plans. They dont necessarily give full-fledged advisory services to clients.
3) To bring more clarity around such online platforms, SEBI has issued new circular which allows such platform to move from being advisory in nature to being execution paltforms.

4) All platforms will have to opt one mechanism --EOP 1 or EOP2.

#investing
#personalfinance
Read 13 tweets
Narmada Gelatine - Super Special Situation

A change of management and promoter will empower the future growth

A thread 🧵

#investing #specialsituation #narmadagelatine #stockmarket
About Narmada Gelatine - A 200 crore market cap co-manufactures gelatine with decent fundamentals Image
Now, Pioneer Jellice India (one of the largest manufacturers of Gelatine in India) bought 75% stake in the company at INR 229 per share. Triggering Open offer at INR 303 per share

About acquirer : pioneerjellice.com/about-us/ Image
Read 7 tweets
1/ $PTON displays a mixed bag with revenue fluctuating between $616.5M in Q1 2023 to $1,133.9M in Q3 2022. While net income remains negative, an improvement in operational efficiency could set the trajectory towards profitability. #Investing Image
2/ Despite gross margins standing at 24.5%, $PTON's EBIT Margin remains negative at -36.2%. Rising revenues can be encouraging, but the negative bottom line needs scrutiny. #Finance
3/ Net debt of $1,518.8M and net debt/EBITDA at -2.12x might raise eyebrows for $PTON investors. Financial restructuring could potentially be on the cards. However, tread carefully as leverage risks persist. #Investing
Read 5 tweets
1/ Despite a net income that swung from -$30.05M in Q3 2021 to -$34.42M in Q1 2023, $SOFI's revenue shows a steady upward trajectory, going from $269.61M to a projected $463.75M. Turnaround to profitability could be key. #Investing
2/ $SOFI holds a high gross margin of 80.4%, indicative of efficient operations. Though the net income remains negative, rising revenues imply potential. Always remember, the bottom line matters. #Finance
3/ With a net debt of $3.76b, $SOFI’s capital structure hints at high leverage. Could this be a potential red flag or an opportunity for capital restructuring? Scrutinize wisely. #Investing
Read 4 tweets
1/ With steady revenue growth from $31.7M in Q3 2022 to $52.7M in Q1 2024, $PL is navigating in the right direction despite negative net income and cash flow. Improved efficiency could be the key to profitability. #Investing
2/ $PL maintains a steady gross margin at 51.8%, a positive sign amidst a challenging negative LTM EBIT Margin of -84.7%. Growing revenues suggest future potential but keeping an eye on the bottom line is crucial. #Finance
3/ In assessing $PL, consider its societal impact. The company's Earth-imaging tech could play a pivotal role in our future. However, keep in mind the negative figures: ROE at -25.6% and ROIC at -29.5%.
Read 5 tweets
17 Trading Principle Of WD Gann That Would Change Your Trading Style.

Must Read!!

Like And Retweet For Better Reach

#Stockmarket #Investing
@nakulvibhor @kuttrapali26 @PAlearner @Stocktwit_IN @caniravkaria @rachitpjain @VijayThk @Rishikesh_ADX @chartmojo @Breakoutrade94 Image
1). If the high price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect higher prices next week.
2)If the low price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect a much lower price next week.
3). In a highly uptrending market weekly low is achieved on Tuesday.
4) When the price crosses the high of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more higher prices.
5). When the price breached the low of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more lower prices.
Read 11 tweets
🧵

A beginner's guide to securities in the world of #crypto! 🚀

🔒 What is a #security?

In simple terms, a security is a type of financial asset or investment instrument.

It represents something of value that you can trade, like stocks or bonds. 📊💰
🔒 How is a #crypto determined to be a security?

Well, it depends on its characteristics and how it's offered to investors.

In the US, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) uses the "Howey Test" to evaluate this. 🧪
🔒 The #Howey Test asks:

Does the investment involve putting money into a common enterprise with the expectation of profits primarily from the efforts of others?

If the answer is yes, it's likely considered a #security. 📝✅
Read 10 tweets
Thread:-

Why Investing in Companies with Peak Profit Margins Requires Caution 📉⛔️

👇👇👇 Image
1/7: #Investing in companies at peak profit margins can be risky. As #companies reach their maximum profitability, a phenomenon known as mean reversion often occurs. This means that profit margins tend to revert back to their long-term average levels over time.
2/7: Mean reversion suggests that high profit margins may not be sustainable in the long run. As margins normalize or decrease, it can lead to potential declines in the company's stock price. So, exercise caution when considering such #investment’s
Read 9 tweets
1/ A lot of people are curious about what Goldman meant by this. Let me break it down for you.

A 🧵
2/ Most investors are naturally bullish on stocks, so they buy put options on the SPX to protect against a market downturn. To finance these puts, they often sell call options. Both of these positions are bearish in nature.
3/ The market makers they trade against, on the other hand, have bullish positions or positive delta (positions that benefit from price increases).
Read 13 tweets
Weekly Recap

Do not worry in case you missed out on any action from @prometheusmacro last week. Below we pen down all the key takeaways & opinion threads that were shared with the wider community. Make sure to #SubscribeToday so that you don't miss any of the updates.
1. We introduced the 'Prometheus Daily Trend Signals' to share the latest trend updates for all 37 ETFs across four asset classes daily.

2. Next, we presented a first glimpse of the Cyclical Rotation Strategy for Equities.

Read 9 tweets
On Wages, Profits & Interest Expense

1. The current macroeconomic picture remains where heightened nominal demand continues to press against the economy's capacity constraints, creating heightened inflation. Image
2. We think these dynamics will
likely be resolved through the Fed's tightening cycle by raising interest burdens in the economy relative to incomes, creating pressure on profitability for companies, and leading to an eventual lay-off of
workers.
3. Therefore, the key to understanding whether the Fed's hiking cycle has been adequate is
whether profits will contract. This profit contraction will likely come from declining topline, sticky wages, and increasing debt service costs.
Read 8 tweets
1. Our process tells us that we are likely headed towards a stagflationary environment, i.e., with growth contracting and inflation likely to be persistent. This regime tends to be one of the worst for passive investors, the reasoning for which is twofold. Image
2. Recessions are the primary risk to stocks as nominal spending collapses. At the same time, inflationary episodes are the primary risk to bonds as their fixed interest rate becomes less attractive relative to other nominal assets.
3. While we intend to provide a more in-depth commentary on both of these components separately in our upcoming Month in Macro report, we provide a sneak peek in what will be further elaborated on.
Read 9 tweets
The markets are doing well since the last few days.
Here are some stock market memes to add to the cheer.

A thread🧵⬇️

1/ The chances of recession in India are low. That’s why FIIs are pouring money into Indian stock markets.

Welcome back FIIs, have a long stay. twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
2/ We are sure many people are feeling powerful these days. After all, the markets are up. Image
3/ Stock picking is easy too but inflation and taxes would eat away most of our returns. Image
Read 7 tweets
Today, many startup founders wonder how to write a great blurb for their firms. Well, it's not rocket science, but effort has to be there! A twitter thread...

#startups #blurb #intro #pitch #gist #economics #business #finance #investment Image
A great blurb always helps startup owners effectively introduce their products & services to their target audience. Besides increasing the sales, a short yet crispy blurb can also attract investors for startup funding. It can be a tool to attract the best talents, too. #HR #IT
Your startup blurb should be different for different purposes, but here’s what a great blurb should consist of:

-A pitch within 25 words.
-Use bullet points to highlight relevant stuff.
-Additional context
Read 11 tweets
"The Automatic Millionaire" is a personal finance book written by David Bach.
Summary and some key concepts from the book .

A thread

#learning #books #investing Image
Pay Yourself First:
One of the central principles of "The Automatic Millionaire" is the concept of paying yourself first. This means setting aside a portion of your income for savings and investments before you allocate money for other expenses.
The Latte Factor:
"Latte Factor," which refers to small daily expenses that can add up over time and prevent you from building wealth. By cutting back on unnecessary expenditures and redirecting those savings towards investments, you can accumulate wealth.
Read 12 tweets
So many "useful idiots" who are promoting a World Economic Forum agenda involving extreme frugality, fanatical saving, and a zero consumption mindset. Adopting mediocrity so you can live a life on par with a broke co-ed is not a financial plan. Here's 7 things to do instead:
#1) Don't become a Klaus Schwab stooge and adopt "settling for less" as a financial strategy. Real financial freedom doesn't involve budgets, stock market allegiance, and blind hope and patience.
#2) Start a business. But not just any business, it must be a business that meets the CENTS commandments, of pertinence, it must eventually divest yourself from the "time-for-money" trade and work while you're not working. Systems work 24/7. You work whenever.
Read 10 tweets
Olectra Greentech Ltd Analysis!🇮🇳

A Detailed Thread🧵⬇️
#investing #StocksInFocus Image
1. About:

The company manufactures polymer insulators since 2003.

The company has tied up with BYD for manufacturing of electric buses.

It has successfully delivered a total of ~1047 e-buses to various state transport undertakings in India and a few private parties till… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2. Current Scenario:

India has approximately 2.45 Lakh public transport buses and need additionally more than 2 Lakh buses to cater to the demand and to improve ratio of buses per 1000
population which is far below the ratio when compared to countries like China, Brazil, Mexico.
Read 14 tweets
Witness a new revolution in the field of #science.🚀

It's ok to be tired of the current scientific publishing system that favors gatekeepers and restricts access to knowledge because
the solution might just be here:

DECENTRALIZED SCIENCE

🧵🧵
#Latesttrendnarrative #DeSci
👍&♻️
#Desci leverages blockchain technology to develop scientific research and help solve scientific challenges that have tarried for long. 💯

In this thread, we'll explore what DeSci is, its benefits, and some exciting low cap projects to keep an eye on! 🤝

#Science
#Blockchain
⚡ What is #Desci?

DeSci is a rapidly expanding initiative that encourages openness and decentralization in research.
Read 15 tweets

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