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🚨 #BrexitDiagram Series 3, V 9 - the last before the summer break! 🚨

Johnson survived his first week, and we can draw some conclusions from his statements and appointments so far
This one has slightly different outcomes to previous versions, inc. a new Deal and then General Election option (with DUP abandoning the Tories), based on @JohnOBrennan2's thinking.

How this might play for an election has been influenced by @syrpis @pmdfoster comments.
Chances of a General Election are ⬆️
Chances of a #PeoplesVote are ⬇️
Chances Commons blocks No Deal are ⬆️, so overall chance of No Deal is ⬇️
As ever high res PNG and PDF files, the .ods for the calculation, and the XML for the diagram are on my blog here:…

And input very welcome, especially if you disagree with the odds on a particular node!

Tomorrow: 🏝☀️ for me... Holiday!

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