- can avoid passing key bills before Oct 31, but not for long
- Direct Rule in NI unavoidable
- No deal would consume government bandwidth /1
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/…
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- we lose access to all the EU trade deals
- other countries won't want to negotiate with us (til they know where we are on tariffs, permanently)
- 16,000 civil servants will be working on the sh*tshow by autumn (not doing schools/health etc) /2
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- "preoccupy" civil service for "years to come"
- risk the Union (how long, I wonder before Ulster farmers take direct action against zero-tariff imports flooding in from Ireland)...then what? And what price new Scottish indy ref? /3
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Pace @jillongovt @jl_owen it revels in sobriety. It's the boring place.
Worth reading no deal prognosis...and asking, 'for what?'. ENDS