, 6 tweets, 4 min read
Professor Johan Rockström, Director of @PIK_Climate talks about tipping points in this thread.

“West Antarctica has potentially crossed the tipping point. If this is correct we have to revise our projected sealevel rise for this century from roughly 1m to 2m.”

[THREAD 1/5]
When the Arctic tips over, it turns from a cooling system into a heating system.

@jrockstrom explains this using July 2012 as example. The Arctic took up 300 Exajoules of extra energy in just 2 weeks. That is equal to half of the world’s annual energy consumption.

[THREAD 2/5]
Professor Rockström compares the IPCC assessment reports 3, 4 and 5 regarding the estimated risk for crossing “human induced catastrophic tipping points”.

This threshold came down from 4° to 2° over time as the scientific understanding evolved.
What will AR6 bring?

[THREAD 3/5]
Professor Rockström calculates the risk for a 6° temperature rise in this century according to the IPCC AR5. He calls it an “uninhabitable planet”.

Note that the basis for this calculation is the total concentration of all greenhouse gases incl CH4, N2O + aerosols.

[THREAD 4/5]
These are excerpts from Prof. Rockström‘s online lecture on planetary boundaries accessible free of charge on edx:
edx.org/course/planeta…

#UniteBehindTheScience

I recommend this presentation by Johan Rockström, if you like to see more 👇



[THREAD 5/5]
This is the graph shown in this clip.
Thanks to @jrockstrom.
You could also read the risk for 4°C from this chart which is a staggering 7%, based on the atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases in 2014.
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