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, 3 tweets, 1 min read
Zelo Street: Fawkes Hires Another Congenital Liar

Mmmm. Steve Edgington, Isabel Oakeshott’s frontman for the Darroch leaks.

Who IS the new US Ambassador?

When will Edgington join Breitbart?

zelo-street.blogspot.com/2019/10/fawkes…
This Steve Edgington

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More from @fascinatorfun see all

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Fionna O'Leary, 🕷 #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Professor John Curtice Makes Surprising Prediction For General Election 2019 - LBC

"I think the safest prediction is that we will have a record number of non-Conservative and non-Labour MPs in this parliament.”

lbc.co.uk/radio/presente…
“it is an election that they and the other opposition parties simply need to deny the Conservatives a majority.”

Think long about this.

Curtice sees something that both SNPs and Lib Dems saw.

The best chance of stopping Brexit is in fact a GE even if it feels counter-intuitive
He’s a cautious man. When he says “more” I think we should work to make that “MUCH more”.

The key is these Tory Govs have made no friends. Whereas is we work hard we can build bridges to bring about a better balance than we have at present with FAR more committed remain MPs
Read 4 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, 🕷 #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Look and think carefully

“If 40% of pro-remain voters chose to vote tactically, it would put the Tories on 277 seats, Labour on 254 and the Lib Dems on 44, securing a remain majority of 36. In both scenarios the SNP would win 52 seats.”

BUT, PLEASE, USE GOOD TACTICAL VOT SITES!
2015 and 2017 elections:- Something like 35 to 45% of people were switching over from one to another. We’ve never seen levels of volatility at an individual level since the 1920s. We can’t just look back at 2017 or 2015 or 2010 to look at the geography of party support.”
This is a link to the @BestForBritain tactical voting website

They have spent £millions on polling & very expensive constituency level analysis
There seems to be a LOT of unsatisfactory sites vying for attention. No idea about their background & quality

getvoting.org
Read 7 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary, 🕷 #FBPE
@fascinatorfun
Can we talk about Tactical Voting Sites & being very careful to which you give your data.

I am seeing several, when checked, do not disclose who they are, what their own political biases- connections, NO proper GDPR notices, qualifications, experience.

Do you really know?
2/.
💥How do you know it is not linked to a particular political party?
💥How can you be sure it will actually give you good advice?
💥What will they do with your data? What cookies are used.
💥it would be a great way to divert a vote to a particular party that suits them...
3/. I have seen maybe 3 now that have made me check for data processing and controlling information.

None had proper GDPR and privacy notices.

This is the latest.

I cannot tell who they are.

Is “Get the Tories out” a sign that it is run by Labour supporters?
Read 9 tweets

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Kevin Corke
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#NEW: Rick Gates told Mueller that he and Manafort shared Trump Campaign Polling Data in 2016 w/ Konstantin Kilimnik, who has ties to Russian Intelligence.

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ARC 2020
@ARC2020eu
#NEW on ARC2020: #CAP & #MFF | Eco-Spin without Public Goods Substance.
Its been 2 weeks since the MFF proposals, here's our round up of some of the perspectives so far.
All perspective-givers tagged in picture.
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
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Why @AnnikaAhtonen of @epc_eu
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G. Elliott Morris📈🤷‍♂️
@gelliottmorris
#New PA cong. map increases D chance of winning the House majority by 4%. They only need a 6.8% generic ballot margin now (down from 7.7) to be favored.

Diff. will be closer to 10% in Nov when uncertainty from polls is ⬇️. Redraw is a very big deal.

One major reason the new PA map is such a big gain for Democrats is that it solidifies, not just tips, PA districts in Philly burbs. Also creates one additional vulnerable R district. (Easily seen in this map made by @JMilesColeman)
My forecasting model will have new PA map in the near future. This is not just a simple switch; it’s a coding redesign, restructuring of input, & drawing new geographic files. Takes a while (for me, a student).

In the meantime, just add 3-4% to the model: bit.ly/2018_house
Read 4 tweets

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