, 4 tweets, 3 min read
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I fear we have 5 voters in the US:
1. White nationalists who‘ll vote Trump uber alles
2. Evangelicals: hold noses & vote Trump
3. Indies/Mod Dems who won’t turn out for lefty
4. Lefties who won’t turnout for moderate
5. NeverTrumpers who vote libertarian

We lose 2-1 each time.
Many replies here object to my phrase "evangelicals hold noses."

My point is to distinguish the evangelicals *gleefully* holding their noses to own the libs, to own the Court...

Vs. Indy/moderate or lefty Dems who are too purist to hold noses to save the country from Trump.
3/ And many replies here keep pointing to nationals polls or the 2018 midterm numbers.

It's the Electoral College, people.

Yesterday's polling @nytimes shows a repeat of 2016.
Answers: Don't assume your candidate is the winner.
Work hard for the nominee.
@nytimes 4/ If you're getting psyched up by the @washingtonpost @abc poll today showing all the Dems winning comfortably, keep in mind:
1) a national poll
2) as @Nate_Cohn points out, it's a small n for a national poll (850 RVs. That's small).
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