1. White nationalists who‘ll vote Trump uber alles
2. Evangelicals: hold noses & vote Trump
3. Indies/Mod Dems who won’t turn out for lefty
4. Lefties who won’t turnout for moderate
5. NeverTrumpers who vote libertarian
We lose 2-1 each time.
My point is to distinguish the evangelicals *gleefully* holding their noses to own the libs, to own the Court...
Vs. Indy/moderate or lefty Dems who are too purist to hold noses to save the country from Trump.
It's the Electoral College, people.
Yesterday's polling @nytimes shows a repeat of 2016.
Answers: Don't assume your candidate is the winner.
Work hard for the nominee.
1) a national poll
2) as @Nate_Cohn points out, it's a small n for a national poll (850 RVs. That's small).