In 2017 I went to a pool club in Northfield, near where I grew up in Birmingham. Whatever was being said nationally, it was where I realised the Labour vote was holding up.
It didn’t feel like this time.
Corbyn a much a bigger problem than in 2017. Then he barely seemed known.
The vitriol for JC now v strong from working class voters, mainly fuelled by Facebook ads. Repeated mentions of links to the IRA/terrorism, which have been circulated online
A complete transformation now. Party actively blamed for blocking Brexit/“ignoring our vote”. Tory messaging highly effective.
However, Tory vote solid behind him in a way which JC not matching.
They’re so caustic about politics, that though they largely believe Johnson is a liar, it’s immaterial, it’s priced in and don’t care.
In two electoral cycles time. Right now, it feels trapped
-not that many Lab/Tory switchers
-lots of undecideds still, prob more likely lean Lab
-youth vote
-WASPI has been quite effective
-does Neilgate get through? (Plays into widespread suspicion of Johnson)
-Tactical voting
news.sky.com/story/general-…