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Hey folks, we just launched our PRIMARY POLLING AVERAGES this morning. They are pretty freakin' cool! You'll want to bookmark this page. 53eig.ht/38tTvOm
Here's what the national average looks like. Note that the averages are pretty smart. We've had Biden and Sanders *very* steady for months; we think the movement you see elsewhere in their numbers is mostly noise. But it captures Warren's relatively sharp shifts up and down.
And here's Wisconsin, for instance, a fairly interesting 4-way race. We have these for every state where there's a decent amount of polling. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/presiden…
Finally, a little explainer on how all this works. We've worked really hard on both the visualizations and math behind these. But there's more (the primary *model*, which uses our *averages* as an input) coming soon.... fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-…
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