TESLA CHARTS: 2013 - Present.
All numbers arranged in TTM annual bars. For example, 2019 refers to 4Q18-3Q19, 2018 = 4Q17-3Q18, etc.
Revenue:
45.2% annualized (least squares) with a 99.2% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
All numbers arranged in TTM annual bars. For example, 2019 refers to 4Q18-3Q19, 2018 = 4Q17-3Q18, etc.
Revenue:
45.2% annualized (least squares) with a 99.2% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
Gross Profit:
36.8% annualized (least squares) with a 99.2% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
36.8% annualized (least squares) with a 99.2% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
EBITDA:
72.2% annualized (least squares) with a 93.4% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
72.2% annualized (least squares) with a 93.4% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
Operating Cash Flow:
57.7% annualized (least squares) with a 58.6% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
57.7% annualized (least squares) with a 58.6% r-squared on the exponential regression curve.
Free Cash Flow:
Unable to derive an exponential growth rate yet because the numbers have been negative until just the past year. But the major takeaway here is the business model has decisively flipped from cash-burning to cash-generating.
Unable to derive an exponential growth rate yet because the numbers have been negative until just the past year. But the major takeaway here is the business model has decisively flipped from cash-burning to cash-generating.
Notably absent is GAAP profit, which of course I avoided because it's still in red ink over a TTM basis. However, EBITDA is a leading indicator of GAAP profit. As Tesla continues growing its operating leverage, as it has done 3 times now, consistent GAAP profit will follow.
