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WHO’s director says @WHO will reconvene tomorrow to make a formal announcement whether the #coronavirus constitutes a PHEIC (Public Health Emergency 🚨 of International Concern) later tomorrow. Many scientist & advocates believe it is time. Let’s make @DrTedros hear our thoughts.
2/ to be fair, @DrTedros apologized for @WHO’s error earlier this week that misclassified the outbreak as merely “moderate” risk. Let’s remember that “To err is human; to correct, divine”. We all make mistakes when we are stressed/tired. Let’s give credit to WHO for correcting.
2.1/ here is WHO’s official apology from its director about the earlier above mentioned error. ?
3) New data shows that the R0 for #coronavirus was much higher in early January during early outbreak - up to R0=4! See graph from @LSHTM study. It has since dropped because of public health measures. Details here:
4) MORTALITY numbers from a new @TheLancet article in Wuhan hospital shows the % mortality from the 🦠#coronavirus is... 11%! Wowzers. That was much higher than expected. Here is the summary from editor in chief of the Lancet (article PDF) in his link...
5) Clinical summary of the 99 #coronavirus infected patients in Wuhan hospital, their symptoms, and the exact passage in the Lancet article that describes the 11% of the 99 who died (page 5). marlin-prod.literatumonline.com/pb-assets/Lanc…
6) To be clear, this mortality % is not the official “Case Fatality Rate” (which is technically not a true rate since it doesn’t have time). This is just a selected sample of infected patients seen in Wuhan hospital, not of all infected patients. So let’s cautiously interpret.
7) Again to be clear, the total % case fatality is likely lower because lot of infected patients with less severe symptoms might not be in this hospital pool. At the same time, this is a small sample size. Also it’s encouraging that over 30 people were discharged (recovered?).
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