As I mentioned last night, Sen Lisa Murkowski is likely to vote against calling witnesses.
It is now confirmed that she is a no vote for witnesses. Hence no 50-50 tie. The motion for not calling witnesses will almost certainly be carried 51-49.
Now everyone is referring in unison to what Trump did vis-a-vis Ukraine as a "scheme". They must have focus-group tested the word yesterday.
The Roll Call on a motion to call witnesses has just begun. As per what I wrote yesterday, the very first vote from Lamar Alexander (voted No) has sealed the fate of this motion. This motion will be defeated 51-49.
No surprises. Mitt Romney and Susan Collins broke from Republican majority to vote Yes. Every single Democratic senator votes Yes.
The conclusion is clearly an acquittal for the President. But how we get from here to there is very murky.
Anyone other than those interested in procedural arcana of senate procedure, or just want to regale in post-game commentary, can tune out now.
So President Trump will deliver the State of the Union address on Tuesday, a day before he is almost certain to be acquitted.
No more testimony, no more evidence. Drama over.