The models more favorable to Biden really do hinge on his performance in Polk and Dubuque.
Sure, he could make it up elsewhere. But that's a big uncertainty that could throw it all off.
Sure, he could make it up elsewhere. But that's a big uncertainty that could throw it all off.
Dubuque’s 19th precinct:
Viable:
Sanders 74
Warren 55
Buttigieg 47
Biden 46
Nonviable:
Klobuchar 24
Yang 13
Gabbard 2
See Biden's only opportunity?
Viable:
Sanders 74
Warren 55
Buttigieg 47
Biden 46
Nonviable:
Klobuchar 24
Yang 13
Gabbard 2
See Biden's only opportunity?
Second Dubuque’s 19th:
Sanders 79 (+5)
Warren 70 (+15)
Buttigieg 61 (+14)
Biden 50 (+4)
Warren and Pete took Biden's thunder. See, if this happens everywhere, Biden could have a very bad night.
Sanders 79 (+5)
Warren 70 (+15)
Buttigieg 61 (+14)
Biden 50 (+4)
Warren and Pete took Biden's thunder. See, if this happens everywhere, Biden could have a very bad night.
More, and please look at what I said about the modeling above...
Biden is not viable is some of these Des Moines. Don't know all of them, but it's a stunner for them in those identified.
His modeling will collapse if this keeps up.
Biden is not viable is some of these Des Moines. Don't know all of them, but it's a stunner for them in those identified.
His modeling will collapse if this keeps up.
And just so nobody is confused on the thread, Des Moines is Polk. So, when Biden fails to reach viability in Precinct 41, it's potentially indicative of a BIG problem, folks.
It's not really "early" compared to past caucuses, which would've been nearly reported by now, but Buttigieg may be performing exactly how Bloomy had hoped.
And Ann Selzer may have struck again, even though the poll was killed.
And Ann Selzer may have struck again, even though the poll was killed.
