If you assume that self-reported results have a bias analogous to when campaigns release internal polls -- which I don't know is the correct assumption but I can't think of a better one? -- this would imply a tossup between Sanders and Buttiegieg.
Also, campaigns are more likely to have precinct captains/volunteers at precincts where they're doing well, which would unavoidably introduce some bias even if they're reporting all the data they *do* have honestly.
tbh it might be that Bernie is the favorite for the first alignment and Buttiegieg for state delegate equivalents, as Sanders's data shows a reasonably wide spread in those numbers
