If the numbers put out by the Buttigieg team holds & turnout IS down, it’ll be the only contest/cycle it’s happened in since Nov ‘16 and as @NateSilver538 points out, likely due to impeachment & SuperBowl. That said, if it gets repeated in other primaries- bad sign for Ds. Like I
Said when I landed here 40 hrs ago- I’ve seen about half the state & there was virtually no evidence of an election. Few billboards anywhere, no signs, nothing. Yes, lots of tv ads. But there was a more visible presence of the VA state legislative cycle than the IA Caucus, & I
Found that shocking. And if D campaigns are doing that on purpose, all based on 1 political science article questioning its direct vote efficacy, BIG mistake. But yeah, I wonder what the awareness of the Caucus even is here among regular voters. If I could poll- I’d test that
