Pre Results Bulletin-1
1. Insiders indicate Kejriwal is very nervous.
2. AAP volunteers lefts their booths/belts around 3.30-4pm in overconfidence of victory.
3. They now have no clear assessment of what happenend between 4pm-EOD. Kejriwal-Sisodia very pissed with this.
1. Insiders indicate Kejriwal is very nervous.
2. AAP volunteers lefts their booths/belts around 3.30-4pm in overconfidence of victory.
3. They now have no clear assessment of what happenend between 4pm-EOD. Kejriwal-Sisodia very pissed with this.
4. AAP suspects if surge can reduce the vote share difference to less than 5%, they are in uncharted terrain.
5. BJP has been able to execute 60% of its gameplan in 45 seats tactically.
6. Meaning there are going to be around 30 seat results with less than 3K vote difference.
5. BJP has been able to execute 60% of its gameplan in 45 seats tactically.
6. Meaning there are going to be around 30 seat results with less than 3K vote difference.
Just to underline the fickleness of exit polls and vote shares, will share some precedents from recent elections now.
Recent Maharashtra Exit Polls, Results and Vote share to seat ratio. With 25.75% votes BJP won 36.36% seats.
Take that with a pinch of salt.
Take that with a pinch of salt.
Recent Haryana Exit Polls, Results and Vote share to seat ratio. With 37.08%% votes BJP won 44.44% seats.
Take that with a pinch of salt again.
Take that with a pinch of salt again.
Recent Rajasthana Exit Polls, Results and Vote share to seat ratio. With 39.3% votes BJP won 36.5% seats.
Take that with a pinch of salt too.
Take that with a pinch of salt too.
Recent UP Exit Polls, Results and Vote share to seat ratio. With 39.7% votes BJP won 81.25% seats.
Take that with a sackful of salt.
Take that with a sackful of salt.
