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Ummm, Hawaii🍍? “In Nagoya, Aichi Prefecture, a man in his 60s who recently returned from a trip to Hawaii has tested positive for the coronavirus, the city govt said. He has not visited China recently.” Need more details on this #COVID19 🦠 case. mainichi.jp/english/articl…
2) according to another article, this #COVID19 case was in Hawaii from Jan 28-Feb 8th. Developed a fever 🤒 on Feb 3rd (6 days after arrival). 6 days is sorta in the range of incubation time - he could have brought it to Hawaii... really hard to say. 🤷🏻‍♂️www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/2020…
3) Clarification - the person developed a “cold” on Feb 3rd, and later a 39 Celsius fever on Feb 8th. Google translate misreading.
4) BREAKING: Hawaii Department of Health officials holding a press conference as we speak! Currently live. khon2.com/live-events/
5) Hawaii location where Japanese #COVID19 case visited now known: Hilton Waikiki - in Honolulu, on island of Oahu.
6) Hawaii officials live session on Japanese #covid19 case: "He first visited Maui at the start of trip (then Oahu). He was probably infected in Japan or while in transit / while traveling here (to Hawaii)... probably never know for sure, but probably infected in Japan."
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Forecast - half dozen reasons to be pessimistic but also many reasons to be optimistic about global containment of #SARSCoV2 #COVID19: thread 🧵 below. thinkglobalhealth.org/article/whats-…
2) 📌The huge number of reported infections in China, which undoubtedly is a substantial underestimate of the actual number of infections
📌Spread to provinces all over China
📌Exportation so far to two dozen other countries;
3) 📌Disease models that suggest that the number of infections recognized in other countries may only be a small fraction of the actual number of people who left China infectious with the virus;
Read 10 tweets
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
Here is the 2% CFR’s source paper from China CDC researchers - calculated from 1023 deaths out of 44672 cases. 81% cases are mild,’ though likely many mild were underdiagnosed too. CFR isn’t final cuz not all cases have resolved. github.com/cmrivers/ncov/… nytimes.com/2020/02/18/wor…
2) it’s also important to point out that amount previously healthy people with no comorbidities, the mortality was much lower at 0.9%. And it was 0.4% or less for those under age 49. And again this is all with underdiagnosis of milder cases + incomplete majority case resolution.
3) two other noteworthy findings: a) it seems there is maybe a gender difference in mortality, men dying more but it’s not adjusted for other demographics. B) earlier cases have higher mortality - expected with the known lag in case resolution. Hmmm 🤔
Read 3 tweets
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Eric Feigl-Ding
@DrEricDing
On @CNN giving my take on the coronavirus 🦠situation on @CNNSitRoom tonight... there is enormous underdiagnosis of #COVID19 cases in China. (Btw, the 10x underdiagnosis comes from MRC Imperial researchers earlier this week). cnn.com/videos/tv/2020…
2) The relative underdiagnosis is from previous public interviews with Neil Ferguson. He even goes farther and suggests only 5% of the cases are being reported (implies 20x underdiagnosis) in China. See video here:
3) FYI: precise 10x underdiagnosis comes from this Feb 5th interview with Imperial professor Neil Ferguson below (20 second mark). And then 1week later, Ferguson upgraded his underdiagnosis estimate to 20x (video linked above in post #2)- a fast upgrade.
Read 3 tweets

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Venture Capital
@kelly2277
🦠 One week after the #DiamondPrincess was quarantined and 60 more are diagnosed with #coronavirus. The current total is 130. My question: are ANY of them employees that might be handling the food, dishes or delivery to the cabins⁉️ @howroute reuters.com/article/us-chi…
🦠Transmission routes of #coronavirus include direct, contact AND aerosol transmission which refers to the mixing of the virus with droplets in the air to form airborne aerosols, which causes infection after inhalation via mouth, nose and eyes🦠 chinadaily.com.cn/a/202002/08/WS…
🦠Sure enough, 2 Ukrainian crew members on the Diamond Princess who worked in the kitchen are infected with #Coronavirus🦠kyivpost.com/ukraine-politi…
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IndoPacific News
@IndoPac_Info
#coronavirus:

THREAD: How #Beijing kept the world in the dark as coronavirus spread

The govt's initial handling allowed the virus to gain a tenacious hold. Officials chose to put secrecy ahead of confronting the crisis to avoid political embarrassment
smh.com.au/world/asia/bei…
The government's initial handling of the epidemic allowed the virus to gain a tenacious hold. At critical moments, officials chose to put secrecy and order ahead of openly confronting the growing crisis to avoid public alarm and political embarrassment
Authorities silenced doctors for raising red flags. They played down the dangers to the public, leaving the city's 11 million residents unaware they should protect themselves. They closed a food market where the virus may have started, but told the public it was for renovations.
Read 13 tweets
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IndoPacific News
@IndoPac_Info
#coronavirus

Thread: Coronavirus Pummels #Wuhan, a City Short of Supplies and Overwhelmed

It is nearly impossible to get the care they need to treat, or even diagnose, the coronavirus, say residents at the crisis’ center
nytimes.com/2020/02/02/wor…
Weak with fever, An Jianhua waited in line for 7 hours outside the hospital in the cold, hoping to get tested for the new coronavirus, which doctors suspected she had contracted.
Ms. An, 67, needed an official diagnosis from a hospital to qualify for treatment, but the one she went to last week had no space, even to test her. The next hospital was full, too. They finally got an intravenous drip for Ms. An’s fever, but that was all.
Read 18 tweets
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IndoPacific News
@IndoPac_Info
#coronavirus

Cocktail of flu, HIV drugs appears to help fight coronavirus: #Thai doctors

A combination of medications for flu and HIV are used

Vast improvement seen just 48 hours after applying the treatment

Great news👍👍👍

reuters.com/article/us-chi…
Thai doctors have seen success in treating severe cases of the new coronavirus with combination of medications for flu and HIV, with initial results showing vast improvement 48 hours after applying the treatment, they said on Sunday.
The doctors from Rajavithi Hospital in Bangkok said a new approach in coronavirus treatment had improved the condition of several patients under their care, including one 70-year-old Chinese woman from Wuhan who tested positive for the coronavirus for 10 days.
Read 5 tweets
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World Health Organization (WHO)
@WHO
#China🇨🇳 has reported to WHO 139 new cases of the novel #coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in #Wuhan, #Beijing and #Shenzhen over the past two days.
This is the result of increased searching and testing for 2019-nCoV among people sick with respiratory illness.
For the first time, there are novel #coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases reported outside of #Wuhan, within #China🇨🇳.
These cases were identified because of searching and testing for cases outside Wuhan.
WHO has provided advice to countries on how to identify people sick with the novel #coronavirus (2019-nCoV), how to care for them, and how to prevent spread.
Read 9 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇨🇳 #China will cut export rebate rates to 13% and 9%, respectively, for exports that enjoyed 16% and 10% rebate rates in accordance with value-added tax cuts effective April 1, according to a statement from the Ministry of Finance.
*Link (Chinese): bit.ly/2Tr5h3o
🇨🇳 #China is extending a public holiday to get people to travel and spend more as the government pins its hopes on a vast consumer base to help cushion an economic slowdown - Reuters
reuters.com/article/us-chi…
🇨🇳 #China Regulator Says Financial Markets Can Open More Quickly - Bloomberg
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 167 tweets

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