Profile picture
, 7 tweets, 2 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
Alarming new Columbia study

- 6 of 7 COVID-19 infections stealth & contagious

- “outbreak very difficult to control.. will become pandemic”

- ave. flu takes 2 yrs to infect 50% of world

- if no advances in treatment, could infect 3.5B & kill 12M

😬

mailman.columbia.edu/public-health-…
“This is an upper bound and assumes no advances in the point-of-care treatment of confirmed cases, no new therapeutics, and no vaccine. An effective vaccine or new therapeutic would greatly reduce mortality. “
“However, the second most severe flu pandemic was in 1957 and is estimated to have killed 1-2 million people. COVID-19 could be worse—not as bad as 1918—but the worst since then.”
Well, this is also disturbing

“A person in California who was not exposed to anyone known to be infected with the coronavirus, and had not traveled to countries in which the virus is circulating, has tested positive for the infection.”

nytimes.com/2020/02/26/hea…
More context:

“Seasonal flu kills 291,000 to 646,000 people worldwide each year”

COVID-19 could this increase that death toll 20-40x

medicinenet.com/script/main/ar…
More context: 60,000 people globally die from natural disasters each year.

ourworldindata.org/natural-disast…
“Fauci’s initial optimism seemed to wane, too. Last week he said that the process of vaccine development was proving “very difficult and very frustrating.”

apple.news/AXR4ZYneWTtiC4…
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Mike Shellenberger

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ShellenbergerMD see all

Profile picture
Mike Shellenberger
@ShellenbergerMD
20x times more dead in Italy than in South Korea

9x more *tested* in SK than Italy

Testing was key to prevent spread & treat sick

Sharing data with public was key to winning public trust

Are we so sure it is too late to implement Korean model?

Think you’re invulnerable because you’re not over 80?

Half of all covid patients in critical condition in France are under the age of 50

nytimes.com/2020/03/14/wor…
South Korea new cases peaked March 3

SK Active infected cases peaked March 10

SK achieved this with

- testing at 90+ labs throughout the country
- transparent digital data-sharing
- apps showing how to avoid infection

*Without* travel ban, restrictions of freedom, coercion.
Read 22 tweets
Profile picture
Mike Shellenberger
@ShellenbergerMD
If this truly is the UK government’s strategy then @BorisJohnson owes it to the world to explain it clearly and directly
@BorisJohnson "The view of our ministers and scientists is that China is simply bottling up the virus, and as soon as freedom of movement resumes it will restart its devastating advance through the population. But that is not the whole story...."

spectator.co.uk/article/boris-…
@BorisJohnson "The longer the virus is contained, the more the world can develop and expand treatment and care, even if that will fall short of a vaccine for a good year or so."
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
Mike Shellenberger
@ShellenbergerMD
How can we as Americans claim to be the global innovation leader if we not only don’t have an antibodies test, we have no plan get one?

We are trying and failing to build a web site while China is repurposing its factories to make what could be a game-changing test
Update from testing industry

“Commercial capacity is expected to exceed 20,000 tests per day nationwide by end of next week, 280,000 tests per week by April 1.”

Is that fast enough to support containment as in South Korea, @iandonald_psych @balajis ?

acla.com/commercial-lab…
“The mayor call­ed every elected of­fi­cial she could—in­clud­ing her hus­band, a state leg­is­la­tor—to get fed­eral of­fi­cials to move faster.

“‘We need to have some­thing hap­pen. You need to un­der­stand what is hap­pen­ing. Peo­ple are dy­ing.’”

wsj.com/articles/on-th…
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Dr Nicole Beardsworth is on strike
@NixiiB
Boris has announced NO NEW MEASURES to contain #COVID-19, & has basically said "keep calm and carry on." No school closures, no university closures & a belief that "banning big gatherings won't help, & may make things worse." Spectacular leadership failure at a watershed moment.
They're stopping testing all cases & will essentially lose a sense of how many cases there are. They're saying that the population needs to develop "immunity" for when this comes around again, & that people should realise that they will lose many more loved ones before their time
Somehow the British government keeps insisting that they are "following the science" but are taking the opposite course of action to every other country in the world. They expect to already have 5-10 000 cases, and are no longer going to accurately keep score...
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
WalkaboutIntrovert
@MakarrataVision
🚨 COVID-19 THREAD 🚨

Look at the COVID-19 signs & symptoms then look at our traditional bush medicine remedies used by our First Nations people, can you see the resemblance?
•Fever
•Cough
•Shortness of breath
Other early symptoms to watch for are chills, body aches, sore throat, headache and runny nose, muscle pain or diarrhoea.

Oz offers some of the world's best holistic remedies.

Like all medicines, bush medicines should be taken with care and as advised naturopath professionals.
Read 23 tweets
Profile picture
Helen Branswell
@HelenBranswell
1. Short #flu thread:
If you haven't gotten a flu shot yet but intend to do so, you'll want to think about getting a move on. Flu activity is starting to tick up & with the intergenerational & geographic mixing opportunities Thanksgiving provides, it will increase.
2. Predicting #flu is a nutty thing to do. Flu will make people sick this winter. Which type will be the biggest culprit? When will it peak? These aren't questions that can be answered ahead of time. But activity is already well underway in Louisiana & Puerto Rico.
3. Super interesting: Nearly 2/3s of confirmed #flu cases so far have been caused by influenza B viruses. Flu B often waits till late in the season to materialize. But there was almost no B activity last year. Could this year be a predominantly flu B season? Stay tuned.
Read 3 tweets
Profile picture
Good Dog
@GoodDog94619152
NEW EPISODE

Thread: Something BIG Is Coming
Episode: Stealth Bomber Opens Bomb Bay Doors

> New Q
> Abraham Lincoln Foundation Speech
> Ezra Cohen-Watnick
> Deep Dive: Assembling A MOAB

Hiding in Bunkers Won't Help!

Question: On Who's Side Of The Ledger Are You?
NEW EPISODE -

Study Question:
What is a Sabbatean?

Why do those who mention this term become instantly banned, shadowbanned, demonetized, attacked, ridiculed and killed? Tonight - we hear from an Anon on the Front Lines & she's outed herself!

PRAY FOR HER!
7PM EDT.
Read 3 tweets
Profile picture
Lorraine Mulholland
@lorraineelizab6
New thread starting ready for 26 Aug @NationalDogDay! 'Irish Dogs, Myths, Saints & Other Interesting Facts!' Suggestions welcome (you might think of something I haven't)! @MagicalEurope @CruftsFans #FolkloreThursday #dogsoftwitter #NationalDogDay #InternationalDogDay! 🐶🐕🐩🐾
@NationalDogDay @MagicalEurope @CruftsFans Irish Wolfhound, symbol of #Ireland! Wolfhounds one of the oldest breeds of dogs recorded in world! Its impossible to know for sure, but skeletal remains suggest they arrived c 8,000 BC! 📷: Aella Grace, with owner Rebecca at neolithic Newgrange, Co Meath (younger; c 3200 BC)! 🐾
@NationalDogDay @MagicalEurope @CruftsFans 279 BC when Celts sacked Delphi📷 #Greece, survivors left accounts of fierce Celts & huge dogs who fought with them & at their side. No doubt Wolfhounds! PS-Ancient Greeks considered the @UNESCO Delphi the centre of the world, marked by the omphalos📷stone! #FolkloreThursday
Read 33 tweets
Profile picture
G. Elliott Morris📈🤷‍♂️
@gelliottmorris
#New PA cong. map increases D chance of winning the House majority by 4%. They only need a 6.8% generic ballot margin now (down from 7.7) to be favored.

Diff. will be closer to 10% in Nov when uncertainty from polls is ⬇️. Redraw is a very big deal.

One major reason the new PA map is such a big gain for Democrats is that it solidifies, not just tips, PA districts in Philly burbs. Also creates one additional vulnerable R district. (Easily seen in this map made by @JMilesColeman)
My forecasting model will have new PA map in the near future. This is not just a simple switch; it’s a coding redesign, restructuring of input, & drawing new geographic files. Takes a while (for me, a student).

In the meantime, just add 3-4% to the model: bit.ly/2018_house
Read 4 tweets

Trending hashtags

#BoycottDuPont #Qastal #Warren #Ecuadorian #PublicHealthNurses #terrorist #BoycottBoeing #PublicHealth #Korean #LeftWingVapourwave #NoWar #USLies #Maydanki #COVID #SaveKoreanDogs #COVIDー19 #GreenEconomy #CPIML #INF #computer #Sudan #ByeBye #SaveOurNHS #Daraa #MarxismAndTheNationalAndColonialQuestion

Embed code for your website

×
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!