Short thread on #covid19NL
The #Netherlands has around 84 Intensive Care Units. Each of these has on average 15 beds. That makes around 1.260 beds. The percentage of cases who need ICU over active cases of Coronavirus in the world is currently 12,5% on average. 1/5
The #Netherlands has around 84 Intensive Care Units. Each of these has on average 15 beds. That makes around 1.260 beds. The percentage of cases who need ICU over active cases of Coronavirus in the world is currently 12,5% on average. 1/5
Assuming that rate will hold in the Netherlands at steady state, the Dutch ICU capacity will be saturated as we approach 10K active cases in the country. If the virus here spreads at the same speed as in Italy, that will happen around the 25th of March, 15 days from now. 2/5
Saturated ICU means doctors will have to choose who to save and who to let die. It also means a higher likelihood of death in case of a heart attack, a car accident, or any other situation requiring ICU. 3/5
The numbers above are all based on assumptions, so real numbers can turn out to be different. However, as a resident here, I can’t help worrying about what seems the most likely scenario. 4/5
Therefore, I urge the @GovNetherlands to take all the necessary measures to avoid that, before it’s too late. Public gatherings should be forbidden, gyms and schools closed, and smart working should be imposed in any applicable case. #stopcovidinNL #thuiswerken 5/5
![Screenshot of a news headline: “[Op-ed] Why Vietnam has been the world’s number 1 country in dealing with coronavirus<br />
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While other countries have dithered, Vietnam’s response to Covid-19 has been swift, sharp and effective”](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ESjvKWiUUAEGprI.jpg)
