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New polling on media attention and #covid-19 from YouGov and The Economist:

% who say they are worried about the virus, by media they most pay attention to:

MSNBC: 74%
National newspapers (NYT/WaPo): 72
CNN: 71
Broadcast news: 68
Local news: 57
Radio: 49
Fox News: 38
% who say they disapprove of how the president has handled coronavirus, by where they get the most news:

MSNBC: 89%
National newspapers: 85
CNN: 83
Local newspapers: 58
Broadcast news: 47
Local TV news: 39
Radio: 49
Fox News: 8
% who say the coronavirus is going to cause a recession:

CNN: 75%
MSNBC: 73
National newspapers: 72
Broadcast news: 65
Local newspapers: 62
Radio: 57
Social media: 50
Local TV news: 44
Fox News: 30
% who say the coronavirus is a man-made epidemic:

Local newspapers: 12%
National news: 26
MSNBC: 28
Radio: 45
CNN: 45
Broadcast news: 52
Fox News: 53
Local TV news: 57

Overall, 47% of Americans believe this theory is "definitely" or "probably" true.
I could go on, but I think y'all get the picture. More here: docs.cdn.yougov.com/fcdckgt368/eco…
Similar findings in new data from the Pew Research Center.

- 31% of Fox News viewers believe covid-19 was developed in a laboratory
- 44% say Democrats have greatly exaggerated the risks
- 56% say the media have greatly exaggerated the risks

pewresearch.org/pathways-2020/…
These new data also reveal stability in partisan differences in behavioral changes as people respond to the coronavirus outbreak. Worth revisiting my piece from last week:

“In America, even pandemics are political”

economist.com/graphic-detail…
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
#NEW poll of the 2020 Democratic primary from The Economist and YouGov:

% support among likely voters (change vs last week)

Sanders: 24 (3)
Biden: 18 (0)
Warren: 16 (1)
Bloomberg: 12 (0)
Buttigieg: 11 (1)
Klobuchar: 7 (0)
Steyer: 2 (1)
Gabbard: 2 (-1)
Compared to last week, our poll shows a big dip in Bloomberg's viability, and a modest increase in the share of Democratic primary voters who say they'll consider voting for Amy Klobuchar.
Share of Democratic primary voters considering voting for each candidate (pooled over the last month):

Sanders: 45%
Biden: 45
Warren: 45
Buttigieg: 29
Bloomberg: 26
Klobuchar: 22
Steyer: 13
Gabbard: 6
Read 7 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
So far for 2020, handicappers have been laser-focused on how Obama-Trump voters say they're going to vote in Nov. I think they should be equally, if not more, concerned with how moderate Democrats (IE: Romney-Clinton and voters) feel and how that varies by potential Dem nominee.
Spoiler alert... I have the answer, but the data are embargoed ;)
I hear this argument a lot; "Sanders does better with non-voters!" people say, "so he just needs to get them to vote!"

That's, *REALLY* tough to do, so the relevant group is not non-voters but infrequent voters -- people who dropped off b/t 2012 & 16
Read 3 tweets
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G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
A little thread on The Economist's 2020 Democratic primary polling aggregate, which is showing a big dip for Joe Biden today, but maybe one that's not as large as some people are expecting.

projects.economist.com/democratic-pri…
Throughout the 2020 primary so far our model has been a bit more "conservative" than others (see: RCP, 538) in calculating each candidate's support. Those smoother trends come from a few sources:
First, by design, our aggregate (henceforth called 'the model', as it's really a model of latent voter opinion) needs multiple polls before it decides to shift estimated support for a candidate. This makes it less sensitive to outliers and avoids reacting to noisy data. Why tho?
Read 22 tweets

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Gul Dukat
@realGulDukat
Attention Bajoran Workers, my administration has compiled a guide for all disease focused
@StarTrek episodes to alleviate the strains of interplanetary quarantine and improve morale and productivity. Please distribute widely.
TOS - 1x5 - The Naked Time - virus that causes the crew to lose their inhibitions
TOS - 1x8 - Miri - virus that makes humans act like children
TOS - 1x25 - This Side of Paradise - hippie spores
TOS - 3x21 - Requiem for Methuselah - crew gets rigelian fever
TNG - 1x3 - The Naked Now - drunk disease
TNG - 1x21 - Symbiosis - planet has plague, other planet has cure but supply chains break down
TNG - 1x24 - Conspiracy- mind control parasites!
TNG - 2x7 - Unnatural Selection - old age disease
Read 16 tweets
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Jack Murphy
@jackmurphylive
NEW PODCAST

w/ @johnrobb

How to Thrive on the Edge of Chaos

The era of indiscriminate connecting is over.

The rise of strategic disconnection is the future.

Instead of racing for new network connections we will slowly disconnect + retrench.

traffic.libsyn.com/jackmurphylive…
John is a military strategist, an author, and a tech entrepreneur.

His insights have been in all major media and have reached the highest level of government.

He knows his stuff to say the least.

Join us here:

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/joh…
Feedback from a listener:

"This is one of the best podcast conversations I EVER listened to. @johnrobb and @jackmurphylive explore evolutionary trajectories for our civilization in the age of #COVIDー19

open.spotify.com/episode/4EZnRs…
Read 8 tweets
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Dr. Chris Mackie
@Healthmac
A thread on why I am not panicking about #Coronavirus #COVID-19.
In 2003, the world experienced an outbreak of SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome). I was in med school. Initially, the illness seemed to be linked with travel to China, but the Chinese government was not saying anything about it.
The cause of SARS was completely unknown, and it was five months between the illness first appearing and the World Health Organization (WHO) becoming significantly involved, alerting public health authorities around the world.
Read 46 tweets
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Ron Rabatsky
@ExposingALEC
The Council for National Policy #CNP, "The Secret Society"
web.archive.org/web/2012102019…
"the heart of a great conservative movement that helped to make America strong and prosperous in the 20th century – now helping to ensure she remains free and secure in the 21st century,"
Some CNP members - Mike Pence comes quickly to mind - in the context of bolstering their conservative credentials, have proudly revealed their CNP membership, even though CNP's policy is to keep membership a secret. Here is it's 2014 Membership, the latest splcenter.org/sites/default/…
#CNP's tentacles include well-connected activists who advocate for the imposition of fundamentalist Christian ideology in public life and have succeeded in forcing their agenda in republican administrations. A list of organizations working with CNP web.archive.org/web/2012020417…
Read 105 tweets
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PatriotTxMOM-SuzyQ #FreeFLYNN⭐️⭐️⭐️
@SuzyQ_TxPatriot
National Security Advisor Robert O’Brien appeared on CBS’s “Face the Nation” on Sunday & talked abt the major reduction in personnel at the NatSec Council moving forward. Mr. O’Brien told CBS host Margaret Brennan that the agency became bloated under the Obama Admin & ballooned..
..to over 236 ppl. Robert O’Brien, who was just appointed as National Security Advisor in September of this year after John Bolton was forced out, said Alexander Vindman is scheduled to be rotated out of his post at the NatSec Council & sent back to the Depart of Defense as he...
..pares down the agency to abt 100 ppl. Recall, Lt. Col. Vindman showed up to his impeachment testimony wearing his military dress. Alexander Vindman, one of Schiff’s star witnesses and a left-wing hack, testified to the House Intel Committee that he “thought” the @POTUS was..
Read 8 tweets

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