So far for 2020, handicappers have been laser-focused on how Obama-Trump voters say they're going to vote in Nov. I think they should be equally, if not more, concerned with how moderate Democrats (IE: Romney-Clinton and voters) feel and how that varies by potential Dem nominee.
Spoiler alert... I have the answer, but the data are embargoed ;)
I hear this argument a lot; "Sanders does better with non-voters!" people say, "so he just needs to get them to vote!"
That's, *REALLY* tough to do, so the relevant group is not non-voters but infrequent voters -- people who dropped off b/t 2012 & 16
That's, *REALLY* tough to do, so the relevant group is not non-voters but infrequent voters -- people who dropped off b/t 2012 & 16
