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FT article discusses dueling models.

Imperial College model says most not yet infected. Oxford models say as many as 50% already infected (which of course would be good news as so many asymptomatic).
ft.com/content/5ff646…
The key bit is below. It will be easy to tell which model is right once we have randomized antibody testing. This kind of serological testing is a blood test. Hopefully their guess of having those tests able to run in a week is correct.
Larger point is the current crisis is in testing for infection, which mouth swab, then using PCR to look for the virus RNA.

But longer term looming crisis will be in massive scale serological antibody testing, as that tells us who is immune and can go back to work.
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